December 31, 2021 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Everesting | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Comedic Timing | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Exalted Charm | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Castle Chaos | 1.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mandatory | 1.60 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Addilyn | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Magnetique | 1.20 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mia Bea Star | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Awesomenewyear | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Calibogue Sound | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Super Twenty Seven | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | U Kant Whip It | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Runninsonofagun | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Gun Maestro | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Actualize | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Good Skate | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Clash A. J. | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Exceptional | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Johnselectricride | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Chief Engineer | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mazal Eighteen | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Violentiam | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ghostghostghost | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Empires First Lady | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Infringement | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hey It’s Tati | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Handle the Truth | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | R Working Girl | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lot of Honey | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Regal Quality | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vettori Kin (BRZ) | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dark Storm | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Heavy Roller | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blewitt | 1.60 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Microscope | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Direct Order | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Runningforhome | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Untreated | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Buy Land and See | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Two Thirty Five | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Boldish | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lost in Rome | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Prioritize | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pioneer Spirit | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mexican Wonder Boy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Parsimony | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Croatian | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Alex M. Robb S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Danny California | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sea Foam | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wild Banker | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tiergan | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Our Last Buck | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Brooklyn Strong | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Captain Bombastic | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kaz’s Beach | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Chowda | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Salute to America | 10.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Curlin’s Wisdom | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Salty Heir | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Juggler | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Uncle Water Flow | 30.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Regal Empire | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bointheback | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Excursionniste | 3.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bossmakinbossmoves | 4.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Asap Restoration | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.