December 31, 2021 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Izeonpoint | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Varsity Flygirl | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mad Tabby | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Veilazig | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Two With a Ten | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Twn Tawfeers Party | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Malartach | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Geaux Golden | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bold Dancer | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Perrins | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Magic Lightning | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dont Cross El Hefe | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Courtman | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | My Man Louie | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Order Up | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Autumn’s So Flashy | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Scoring Drive | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Anyotherquestions | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fireinthestorm | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Rock Star Alex | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Mr. K W | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Eli’s Girl | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Exceeding | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Twin Cause | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fish N Chick | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Smart Lucky Lass | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Order Up Another | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Higher Note | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bloodline | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Achilles Heel | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Walhalla | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Practice Squad | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Russian Tank | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mannix (IRE) | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Mo Z | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Mr Creed | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | We All See It | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Louisiana Futurity
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Big Scully | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bron and Brow | 1.20 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Charco | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pocket Money | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | That One Guitar | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | I Like Dreaming | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Merseyside | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ready for Change | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vincaia | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sterling Miss | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ameerah B | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vividly (GB) | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Inajiffy | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Curvette | 0.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tizafeelin | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bizzy Echo | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Aurelia Factor | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Melody Rose | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miami Rose | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sienna Breeze | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Malibu Marie | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Freudian | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 7 | Intense Company (IRE) | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | Memphis Cash Queen | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Dressedtoimpress | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Golden Twist | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 6 | Mark With an E | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chaton Rouge | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | American Deputy | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Zen (IRE) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | C C’s Cowgirl | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Junie | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Louisiana Futurity
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Serape | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Won Day | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Free Like a Girl | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Wholelottamo | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | A G’s Charlotte | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Custom for Tina | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Basalt Street | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Half Page | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Drop Dead Sexy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.