January 1, 2022 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Runabout | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Potantico | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flowers for Lisa | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Noble Thought | 1.80 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nutzforboltz | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Battalion | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 8 | Raymond Road | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Eudaimonia | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kay Tee Gal | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Majestic Spirit | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Serenade Soldier | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Our Reward | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Cricket West | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Derby Kisses | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Doc Doc Rock | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Trappeze Artist | 30.00 | 0.9 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Next Flight | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lohengrin Two | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stanhope | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dark Money | 1.20 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Healy’s Hope | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dream Bigger | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Moonachie | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Enter Sandwoman | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Boss Cara | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cazilda Fortytales | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Early Edition | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Violent Vixen | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Thegoddessofsnakes | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cadeau de Paix | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tellaperfecttale | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Impressionist | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pineapple Man | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wild Carp Diem | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Clash A. J. | 30.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bustin Up | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Relate | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Waheel | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Institute | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Missalpha | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tale of Mist | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Winning Drive | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Karen’s Cove | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bourbon Mission | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Summer Bourbon | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Speeding Kid | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Binkster | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fleet Warrior | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 5 | Double Vision | 20.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Bustin Shout | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Durkin’s Call | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | More Graytful | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Bronx Bomber | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Money in the Bank | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | T Loves a Fight | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Big Bobby | 2.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Writer’s Regret | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Devious Mo | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Jerome S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Courvoisier | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mr Jefferson | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ohtwoohthreefive | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Unbridled Bomber | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rumble Strip Ron | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Smarten Up | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cooke Creek | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hagler | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Highway Queen | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ancient Brown | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Snicket | 5.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jen’s Battle | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Time Lady | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Candy Monet | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Electric Youth | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Towering Orbit | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Proper Grammar | 50.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ok Honey | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.