January 6, 2022 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mom’s Eye Candy | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rush to Honor | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Feathers Road | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dreampoint | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Got the Gold | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Son of an Ex | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Waters of Merom | 0.60 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Babyitsgoldoutside | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lanfrankophile | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kingdom Queen | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Luz | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Saratoga Kisses | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 5 | Marathoner | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 4 | Analysis | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Looking to Heaven | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Creative Magic | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Aranjuez | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Pipito | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 6 | R Boy Cheekum | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1A | 3 | Any Minute | 2.50 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | High School Crush | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Guns Blazing | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Big Q | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Rainbow Gal | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tappanzee | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beautiful Karen | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Investment Grade | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Exfiltration | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Incontrovertible | 1.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cinnamon Dream | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flight Forward | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Elegant Laoban | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Reeley Psyched | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Emerald Banker | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ethel’s Doctorate | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Mission | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chloe Rose | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blushable | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Suspended Campaign | 1.80 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alpine Queen | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kerik | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Royal Meghan | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Patty H | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 2 | Spun d’Etat | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1A | 7 | Shesalittle Edgy | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Just Read It | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Easy to Bless | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trinni Luck | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Sunset Louise | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cape Cod Causeway | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tonight We Love | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Bean Christine | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dream Central | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Lies | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Know It All Audrey | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mama Said No | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rcaptivating | 3.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.