January 6, 2022 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | That’s All Right | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Happygobucky | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bigjim’s Silvergal | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | My Kiki | 1.60 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Okalani | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kleinmeister | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stop the Friend | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | C C Crown’s Choice | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Gold Merritt | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fifty Protection | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Minister’s Medal | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Big Brass Monkey | 1.20 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Goodrockinalvin | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Mizspelt | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Meet Kevin | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Diamonds Shining | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Gal Charlotte | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mila’s Kat | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Boston Lucille | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tricky Mom | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Leudeal | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Boston Prospect | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | El Caliente Lady | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 8 | Morricone | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Social Afleet | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1A | 6 | Galaxy Builder | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Louisiana Hero | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Yankee Seven | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smooth Colliery | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wise Verdict | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Laughingsaintssong | 2.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Nosbor | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lenape Drive | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Warriors Gem | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fazio | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kensley’s Hippie | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Victory Trip | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | D’rock | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Royal Bertrando | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 10 | Sucre | 1.40 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Moorac | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Love to Learn | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Madison’s Place | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Staythirstymyamigo | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mostly Awesome | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Seven Jewels | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Gee Gee | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Country Dream | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | First Empress | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Stone Secret | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zcat’s Chatain | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | War Song | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ice Peak | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hot Ten | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Black Justice | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lion Heart Legend | 4.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | King Cookie | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Wonder Run | 3.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Michael’s Bad Boy | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Real Brave | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Thimble | 1.80 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Getcha | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Range of Motion | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Unbridled Pulpit | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gotta A. P. B. | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | The Big Irishman | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | David’s Grace | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sugarland Express | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Shady’s Turn | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Believe in Parts | 2.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Brush With Caution | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Priced Right | 6.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Elisher | 3.50 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ronnie’s Reasoning | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Classic Red Racer | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Kannon With a K | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Gildersleeve | 15.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Dryspell | 4.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | She Caused It | 20.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lucky Big Daddy | 15.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.