January 6, 2022 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Fort Bonz | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
8 | 8 | Johnny Bootleggs | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
10 | 10 | Solar Star | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
6 | 6 | Magnolia Ridge | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
2 | 2 | More Harder | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
3 | 3 | Runwildwithdreams | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
9 | 9 | Bit Part | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
4 | 4 | Classic’s Omega | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
1 | 1 | My Little Leo | 5.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
7 | 7 | Nice Star | 4.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | 8 | Oneforvivi | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
7 | 7 | Everlovinghand | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
10 | 10 | Port o’ Call | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
3 | 3 | Duvee | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
6 | 6 | Doctrinaire | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
5 | 5 | Permanentdetention | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
4 | 4 | Apache Tears | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
9 | 9 | Charlie G | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
2 | 2 | Enchanted Moon | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
1 | 1 | Ole Stud Muffin | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | Sky Factor | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
3 | 3 | Ain’t She Dahrlin | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
5 | 5 | Here Comes Lovie | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
4 | 4 | Thief of Hearts | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
6 | 6 | Scarlett O’Hara | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
1 | 1 | Wink Texas | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
2 | 2 | Marama | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 5 | Seven Scents | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
4 | 2 | Tapizars Secret | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
8 | 6 | Lookin for Loki | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
6 | 4 | Chimney Rock | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
9 | 7 | Honey Won’t | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
10 | 8 | McFeely | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
5 | 3 | Mister Banjoman | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
1 | 1 | Palvera | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
2 | 2 | Jo Dee’s Angel | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
3 | 3 | Cove Blue | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
11 | 11 | Richiesgotswagger | 4.50 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | 9 | Enough Heart | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
5 | 4 | Temple Quest | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
12 | 11 | Missbudlitelime | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
9 | 8 | Cheyann Glitters | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
6 | 5 | Smoothoutthetrack | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
8 | 7 | Kohensrising | 30.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
7 | 6 | Song of Paradise | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
1 | 1 | Aphrodites Revenge | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
11 | 10 | Star Prado | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
2 | 2 | Emery’s Dream | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
4 | 3 | Kasen’s Sister | 3.50 | 9 | 17-1 | |
3 | 3 | Cajun Music | 15.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 4 | Grand Luwegee | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
8 | 7 | Jeb’s Lucky Eight | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
3 | 2 | Get Them Justin | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
6 | 5 | Who Took the Money | 1.20 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
2 | 1 | Budro Talking | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
7 | 6 | Sydster | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
4 | 3 | Treys Midnite Moon | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
1 | 1 | Im a Cowboy Too | 12.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | Call the Colonel | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
3 | 3 | Mr. Shortandsimple | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
8 | 8 | Woman With a Book | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
4 | 4 | Trivista | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
1 | 1 | Blueridge Mountain | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
6 | 6 | King of the Testo | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
2 | 2 | Skycraft | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
5 | 5 | Big Falcon Rocket | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Cobra Casablanca | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
2 | 2 | Flatter Me Silly | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
5 | 5 | Oopsy Daisy | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
1 | 1 | World of Wonder | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
3 | 3 | Summer Sangria | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
7 | 7 | Have No Fear | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
9 | 9 | Salvaje | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
8 | 8 | Karalinka | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
6 | 6 | Risky Reward | 3.50 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
10 | 10 | Sikum | 12.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
11 | 11 | Chikara | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
12 | 12 | Big If True | 4.50 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | 5 | Star Appearance | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
5 | 3 | Cryptorithm | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
2 | 1 | Starvictory | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
7 | 4 | Sneaky Allie Kat | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
3 | 2 | I Don’t Fly Coach | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
9 | 6 | Musada | 4.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
10 | 7 | The Three Ks | 10.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
1 | 4 | Counterfeit | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
1A | 11 | Stealing Apriority | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
4 | 3 | Bayou Sarge | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
6 | 6 | Yoakam | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
11 | 8 | Daves Friend Dewey | 4.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.