Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, January 6, 2022

January 6, 2022 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Fort Bonz 12.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Johnny Bootleggs 3.50 1.8 3-1
10 10 Solar Star 10.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Magnolia Ridge 8.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 More Harder 8.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Runwildwithdreams 12.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Bit Part 12.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Classic’s Omega 8.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 My Little Leo 5.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Nice Star 4.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Oneforvivi 8.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Everlovinghand 4.00 5 9-1
10 10 Port o’ Call 8.00 5 9-1
3 3 Duvee 3.50 5.6 11-1
6 6 Doctrinaire 12.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Permanentdetention 12.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Apache Tears 4.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Charlie G 6.00 6.1 11-1
2 2 Enchanted Moon 10.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Ole Stud Muffin 20.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Sky Factor 4.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Ain’t She Dahrlin 3.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Here Comes Lovie 8.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Thief of Hearts 4.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Scarlett O’Hara 3.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Wink Texas 5.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Marama 8.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 Seven Scents 3.50 2.6 5-1
4 2 Tapizars Secret 12.00 2.9 6-1
8 6 Lookin for Loki 6.00 4.4 8-1
6 4 Chimney Rock 5.00 4.5 8-1
9 7 Honey Won’t 4.50 4.6 9-1
10 8 McFeely 6.00 6.5 12-1
5 3 Mister Banjoman 8.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Palvera 20.00 7.5 14-1
2 2 Jo Dee’s Angel 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Cove Blue 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Richiesgotswagger 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 Enough Heart 6.00 3.8 7-1
5 4 Temple Quest 10.00 4.9 9-1
12 11 Missbudlitelime 20.00 5.1 10-1
9 8 Cheyann Glitters 4.00 5.3 10-1
6 5 Smoothoutthetrack 30.00 5.9 11-1
8 7 Kohensrising 30.00 6.1 11-1
7 6 Song of Paradise 12.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Aphrodites Revenge 4.50 6.4 12-1
11 10 Star Prado 6.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 Emery’s Dream 20.00 8.1 15-1
4 3 Kasen’s Sister 3.50 9 17-1
3 3 Cajun Music 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Grand Luwegee 4.50 2.7 5-1
8 7 Jeb’s Lucky Eight 20.00 3.2 6-1
3 2 Get Them Justin 12.00 3.2 6-1
6 5 Who Took the Money 1.20 3.6 7-1
2 1 Budro Talking 4.50 3.9 7-1
7 6 Sydster 8.00 4.4 8-1
4 3 Treys Midnite Moon 6.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Im a Cowboy Too 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Call the Colonel 8.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Mr. Shortandsimple 8.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Woman With a Book 8.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Trivista 3.50 4.5 8-1
1 1 Blueridge Mountain 4.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 King of the Testo 3.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Skycraft 8.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Big Falcon Rocket 5.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Cobra Casablanca 8.00 4 7-1
2 2 Flatter Me Silly 4.50 4.2 8-1
5 5 Oopsy Daisy 12.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 World of Wonder 12.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Summer Sangria 6.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Have No Fear 8.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Salvaje 4.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Karalinka 12.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Risky Reward 3.50 8.6 16-1
10 10 Sikum 12.00 9.2 17-1
11 11 Chikara 4.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Big If True 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 5 Star Appearance 10.00 2.8 5-1
5 3 Cryptorithm 6.00 5.4 10-1
2 1 Starvictory 20.00 5.4 10-1
7 4 Sneaky Allie Kat 15.00 5.7 11-1
3 2 I Don’t Fly Coach 6.00 5.7 11-1
9 6 Musada 4.50 7.6 14-1
10 7 The Three Ks 10.00 8.9 17-1
1 4 Counterfeit 5.00 SCRATCH
1A 11 Stealing Apriority 5.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Bayou Sarge 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Yoakam 8.00 SCRATCH
11 8 Daves Friend Dewey 4.00 10.2 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.