Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Friday, January 7, 2022

January 7, 2022 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 War Novel 8.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Gruntled 4.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Motion to Strike 3.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Tough Workout 3.50 3.8 7-1
5 5 Kentucky Knight 10.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 I Am the Cash Man 15.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 We Ready 4.50 4.9 9-1
8 8 My Cousin Rich 5.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 To a T 2.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 A Ring Thing 4.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Bastet 2.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Khali Magic 6.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Jasminesque 8.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Pendolino 30.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Matoula 4.50 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Barone Marchis 4.50 2.4 5-1
8 8 Southern Civility 8.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Sell Something 15.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Bosship 12.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Silver Samurai 3.50 4.9 9-1
1 1 Lazzarito 30.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Koosman 15.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Gimmedamoney 3.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Winetastic 6.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Bointheback 8.00 8.5 16-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Durkin’s Call 3.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Manifest Destiny 8.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Sicilia Mike 8.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Golani Brigade 3.50 3.4 6-1
7 7 P J Advantage 8.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Writer’s Regret 6.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Dark Money 2.50 5.1 10-1
5 5 Gandy Dancing 20.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Champagne Poetry 2.50 1.3 2-1
3 3 Glitter Up 3.50 2 4-1
8 8 Cupids Girl 3.00 2.4 5-1
9 9 Continentalcongres 12.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Mo Pro 6.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Belleshazza 10.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Dolce Sera 20.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Charlottesometimes 10.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Mostly Harmless 12.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 11 Annika Gold 4.00 3.4 6-1
5 4 Gentle Annie 6.00 4 8-1
7 8 Starship Goddess 8.00 4.7 9-1
4 3 Starship Reina 20.00 5.2 10-1
1A 7 Cartwheel 2.50 5.7 11-1
1 5 Foxtail 2.50 5.9 11-1
9 10 Shadolamo 8.00 6.3 12-1
11 12 Peaches and Spice 30.00 8.1 15-1
2 1 Cover Photo 10.00 8.1 15-1
3 2 Amos 8.00 8.4 16-1
6 6 Paddy’s Princess 20.00 8.6 16-1
8 9 Gringotts 10.00 8.6 16-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Voice of Spring 4.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 Mashnee Girl 15.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Destinationwnrscir 6.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Shalimar Gardens 0.40 3.2 6-1
2 2 That Is Key 15.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Left Leaning Lucy 15.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Cinderella’s Cause 20.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Half Birthday 6.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Tap the Heart 6.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Endless Crusade 4.50 1.8 3-1
5 5 Boom Roasted 10.00 2.9 5-1
12 12 Strong Alpha 15.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Pals Ally 12.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 The Honorable Ruth 3.50 5.9 11-1
7 7 Rock Lobster 10.00 6.1 11-1
8 8 Lost Anchor 8.00 6.1 12-1
11 11 Sweetie Pie 20.00 6.4 12-1
10 10 Keen Dancer 30.00 7 13-1
9 9 Midmon 12.00 8.4 16-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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