January 7, 2022 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Roux Bandit | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sadie’s Ransom | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Halo’s Song | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sho Nuff | 1.80 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | In for a Penny | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Molli Way | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 7 | Greeley’s Dealer | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tensas Toddy | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 2 | Guitarzan | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Unwanted Intruder | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Temprano | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Meditate | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Forestdungone | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Purim King | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Broad Decision | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ready Ready | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Charlie’s Peak | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | First I’ve Seen | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gotteminabind | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Scarlet Storm | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hurricane Siren | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lutie Mo | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Katie’s C | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Courtly Doc | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lake Marie | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cajun Two Step | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | That’s My Mama | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Oneholylion | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sandys Blaze | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Baptism | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Spread the Faith | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Top Brass | 5.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lunar Light | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Frank the Mayor | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Sunnyonastormyday | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Voyant | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zong Tough | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Boujie One | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Paralissfrmanalyss | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smoky Topaz | 2.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Production Time | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kingston Street | 6.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shady Grady | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Moro Pharoah | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | G Don’t Know | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Harry’s Lil Hippie | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Homeland Messa | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Nightmare | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cajun Berti | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Desiard | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Malasong | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smiling Song | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pay Dirt | 10.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Buck Dynasty | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cap Rock Miner | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dutchman | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sir Bronx | 2.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Taken Back | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Liam Skye | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Quality Production | 6.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | One King Cat | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Freudian Sip | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Gettinintomischief | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Orleans S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Kela’s Turn | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ima Discreet Lady | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shellby | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Icy Charlie | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Misty Day | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cilla | 2.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Onerollofthedice | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Broke Financing | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Pat’s Girl | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Macho Mark | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Last to Know | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sobek | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Trophy Daddy | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Diside | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | He’s a Lucky Man | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Oops Wediditagain | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Callthewolfe | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Texas Rule | 3.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.