January 7, 2022 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | Ibegtodiffer | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
3 | 3 | Blue Ridge Heat | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
5 | 5 | She’s a Fair Catch | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
2 | 2 | Midnight Trip | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
4 | 4 | My Girl Em | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
1 | 1 | Gilded Apple | 4.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
6 | 6 | Quick Heat | 3.50 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | 10 | Upham | 20.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
7 | 7 | Convict Pike | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
6 | 6 | Tiz Light the Way | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
4 | 4 | Redoux | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
5 | 5 | The Green Mo’ster | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
9 | 9 | Mayberry Saloon | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
8 | 8 | Mangelsen | 2.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
1 | 3 | Guitar Slim | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
2 | 1 | Freedom Factor | 3.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
3 | 2 | Dictator | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
1A | 12 | Foolish Steve | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
11 | 11 | Lighthawk | 4.50 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | C F Johnathan | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
3 | 3 | Da Gold Room | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
6 | 6 | Canihaveitlikethat | 1.60 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
1 | 1 | Mister Strange | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
2 | 2 | Freightrainfreeman | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
7 | 7 | Tune My Guitar | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
4 | 4 | My Little Flaco | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Scat Shack | 15.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
1 | 1 | Unorthodox | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
5 | 5 | Cool Runnings | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
7 | 7 | Cartier Cat | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
3 | 3 | Flying Fred | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
6 | 6 | War Light | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
2 | 2 | Hero Dragon | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
8 | 8 | Achilles | 8.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | Irish Hokie | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
6 | 6 | Cove Blue | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
4 | 4 | Frolic More | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
2 | 2 | Richiesgotswagger | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
1 | 1 | Picknngrinn | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
3 | 3 | Lafitte’s Fleet | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
5 | 5 | Dinar | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 3 | Henning | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
2 | 1 | Tin Delay | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
4 | 4 | Unrestricted | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
7 | 7 | Secret Vista | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
11 | 11 | Datswhatilike | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
3 | 2 | Run Rocket | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
9 | 9 | Gracida | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
10 | 10 | I’m d’Cat | 5.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
5 | 5 | Louisiana Moon | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
6 | 6 | Cabo’s Rumor | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
1A | 12 | Deer Crossing | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
12 | 13 | Luckenbacher | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
8 | 8 | Custom Bobby’s | 4.50 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Distorted Verve | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
2 | 2 | Misty Veil | 1.40 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
5 | 5 | Saintsation | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
4 | 4 | Miss Tulsa | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
3 | 3 | Angel of Verdun | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
1 | 1 | Sweet Blindness | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Offspring | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
6 | 6 | Net a Bear | 1.60 | 4 | 7-1 | |
4 | 4 | Money Well Spent | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
3 | 3 | Winning Romance | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
7 | 7 | Blessed Anna | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
5 | 5 | Dance Away | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
1 | 1 | Alliaceous | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
8 | 8 | Air Guitar Star | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
9 | 9 | She’s Gone d’Wild | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
10 | 10 | Special Connection | 8.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Stella Link | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
9 | 8 | Anslie’s Gumdrop | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
7 | 6 | La Lola | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
8 | 7 | Miss Laughalot | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
6 | 5 | Creole Baby | 5.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
4 | 3 | Julia’s Chance | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
12 | 10 | Looking Hot | 2.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
5 | 4 | Jig Time Bandit | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
10 | 9 | Tugboat | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
2 | 2 | Savannah’s Here | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
3 | 3 | Allen’s Judy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
11 | 11 | Sweet Jackieleigh | 5.00 | SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.