Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, January 8, 2022

January 8, 2022 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Roz 8.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Lady of Thoroton 2.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Frosty Invasion 3.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Write the Check 12.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Banksamillion 4.50 4.4 8-1
1 1 Cara’s Daydreamer 15.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Beautiful Banks 5.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 False Hope 10.00 6.1 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Ryan’s Cat 2.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Carrothers 6.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Flatter Me Please 6.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Sibelius 3.50 2.9 6-1
7 7 Twelth Man 8.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Chowda 2.50 3.2 6-1
6 6 Hold the Salsa 20.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 4 War in Paradise 6.00 2.4 5-1
7 8 New York Supreme 4.50 3.8 7-1
5 6 Love’s Misery 8.00 4 7-1
4 5 Spun for Lu Lu 15.00 4.3 8-1
11 12 Torren’s Tale 12.00 4.6 9-1
10 11 New York Banker 8.00 5.2 10-1
8 9 Bonana Fanna Foe 10.00 6.6 12-1
2 3 Fortune’s Sister 12.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Inouaintalkintome 3.00 6.9 13-1
9 10 Escapology 8.00 7.1 13-1
1A 2 Live in Five 3.00 9.3 18-1
6 7 Mondeuse 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Fitzpatrick 12.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Malibu Star 4.00 2.9 6-1
8 8 Risk Profile 4.50 3 6-1
7 7 Sound Money 4.50 3.4 6-1
2 2 Send the Word 20.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Starting Over 3.50 4.6 9-1
1 1 American Monarch 3.00 5 9-1
3 3 Market Alert 8.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Mr. Briggs 8.00 2.1 4-1
1A 13 Confectioner 30.00 2.9 6-1
12 12 Striking Speed 3.50 5.4 10-1
13 14 A Colt Named Susie 30.00 5.8 11-1
10 10 Macho Boy 20.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Lokoya Road 5.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Respect for All 30.00 6.8 13-1
1 2 Speechin N Teachin 30.00 7.1 13-1
2 1 Jacoba 15.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 Scotty 10.00 8.2 16-1
11 11 Kid Chocolate 20.00 8.4 16-1
3 3 Forever Wicked 20.00 9.2 17-1
4 4 Obsessed 15.00 9.4 18-1
8 8 Profusion 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 One Whirlwind Ride 20.00 1 2-1
8 8 American Gentleman 5.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 King James 3.50 4 8-1
5 5 Jake Rocks 4.50 4 8-1
1 1 Trash Talker 4.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Subsidize 8.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Colormepazzi 6.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Extreme 8.00 6 11-1
2 2 Charlie Five O 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Grudge 8.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Esotica 6.00 4.3 8-1
12 12 Impazible Donna 4.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 My Roxy Girl 5.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Ruvies in Time 6.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Wailin Josie 30.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Irish Constitution 12.00 7.2 14-1
9 9 Prairie Fire 12.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Honey Money 4.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Chasing Cara 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Steal My Heart 30.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Rossa Veloce 20.00 10.9 21-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Say Florida Sandy S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Alpha Chi Rho 6.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Battle Station 8.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Lobsta 1.60 3 6-1
6 6 Saratoga Pal 12.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Chestertown 8.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 My Boy Tate 1.20 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Celine the Queen 8.00 1 2-1
13 13 Twist Just Right 4.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Royal Currency 4.50 3 6-1
10 10 Ribot’s Valentine 6.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Darn That Song 20.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Chiara 20.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 True Empress 3.50 5.6 11-1
6 6 Easy Play 12.00 7.2 14-1
11 11 Mrs. Banks 30.00 7.5 14-1
7 7 Georgie’s Ladies 30.00 7.7 15-1
9 9 Playmaggieforme 30.00 8.6 16-1
4 4 Belarus 12.00 9.9 19-1
12 12 Cindy’s Choice 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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