January 8, 2022 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Paisley Cross | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Building Home | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Shades of Truth | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Goodnight Gracie | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Starbuck Luck | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | D’wild Baroness | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sophie’s Prayer | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Puzzling Priority | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | G Victory | 12.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Pipes and Drums | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mister K | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Wild One Forever | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tap Attack | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rumohr Reigns | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spankhurst | 5.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Hail Southern | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Crimson Storm | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Two B | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Petey | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Freed | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Russss | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Heartthrob Halo | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Time Twister | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Killingsworth | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pitch and Run | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Boston Buster | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zoey’s Hippie | 5.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cajun Cash | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Town Drunk | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chop Chop Charlie | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eastside Boy | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hatties Jewel | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Honor My Speed | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | He Takes Charge | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Full of Run | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Southpine Gift | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sarah Adriana | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sarahs Home | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shesthecatsmeow | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Angel Arkie | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Achancetowin | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Envoys Legacy | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gaby’s Promise | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss High Heels | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Queen Bindala | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 10 | Zydeco Music | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Our Amen | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Velvet Night | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Dreamit | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Gal | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sassy Sue’s Band | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | My Rebel Girl | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Clocked in Tyme | 10.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 8 | Fashion Merit | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Hanging Lake | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Sam’s Town S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Best You Ever Seen | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mighty Mischief | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Greeley and Ben | 1.40 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Flying Bankroll | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Slither | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wild Bert | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Emerald Forest | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | Fort Knox | 2.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 1A | 8 | Tapage | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Bow and Arrow | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Warrior’s Map | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Liken It | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Young Bull | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Its a Wrap | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Jimi’s a Star | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fredonian | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Muscadine | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Madison Joy | 2.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Distorted Kitty | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Shooting Stick | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Light as a Whisper | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Storm Breach | 4.50 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1A | 11 | Go My Juliet | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | My Baby Bele | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Old Time Girl | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 1 | 8 | Double Appeal | 15.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Zeatrical | 3.50 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | My Little Guera | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.