Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, January 8, 2022

January 8, 2022 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Paisley Cross 4.50 1.6 3-1
1A 7 Building Home 5.00 1.6 3-1
7 6 Shades of Truth 2.00 1.9 4-1
4 3 Goodnight Gracie 12.00 2.3 4-1
2 1 Starbuck Luck 3.00 3.8 7-1
1 4 D’wild Baroness 5.00 4.7 9-1
3 2 Sophie’s Prayer 10.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Puzzling Priority 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 G Victory 12.00 1.6 3-1
7 6 Pipes and Drums 3.50 2.3 4-1
6 5 Mister K 2.50 4.7 9-1
9 8 Wild One Forever 15.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Tap Attack 8.00 6.6 13-1
2 2 Rumohr Reigns 6.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Spankhurst 5.00 7.9 15-1
8 7 Hail Southern 15.00 8.6 16-1
5 5 Crimson Storm 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Two B 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Petey 20.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Freed 3.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Big Russss 8.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Heartthrob Halo 15.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 Time Twister 5.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Killingsworth 6.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Pitch and Run 10.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Boston Buster 20.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Zoey’s Hippie 5.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Cajun Cash 15.00 1 2-1
4 4 Town Drunk 12.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Chop Chop Charlie 3.50 3.5 7-1
6 6 Eastside Boy 8.00 4 8-1
3 3 Hatties Jewel 4.50 4.1 8-1
2 2 Honor My Speed 5.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 He Takes Charge 2.50 4.5 9-1
9 9 Full of Run 10.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Southpine Gift 15.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sarah Adriana 3.50 2.9 6-1
8 8 Sarahs Home 4.50 3.8 7-1
4 4 Shesthecatsmeow 15.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Angel Arkie 6.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Achancetowin 20.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Envoys Legacy 8.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Gaby’s Promise 5.00 5 9-1
6 6 Miss High Heels 2.50 5 9-1
5 5 Queen Bindala 20.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 10 Zydeco Music 1.80 3.2 6-1
9 9 Our Amen 3.50 3.7 7-1
5 4 Velvet Night 4.50 4.2 8-1
3 2 Dreamit 15.00 5.2 10-1
2 1 Gal 8.00 5.5 10-1
4 3 Sassy Sue’s Band 15.00 6 11-1
8 7 My Rebel Girl 8.00 6.6 12-1
6 5 Clocked in Tyme 10.00 8.2 15-1
1 8 Fashion Merit 1.80 SCRATCH
7 6 Hanging Lake 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Sam’s Town S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Best You Ever Seen 12.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Mighty Mischief 6.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Greeley and Ben 1.40 4 8-1
6 6 Flying Bankroll 20.00 4 8-1
1 1 Slither 8.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Wild Bert 4.50 5.2 10-1
4 4 Emerald Forest 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 5 Fort Knox 2.00 1.3 3-1
1A 8 Tapage 2.00 3.3 6-1
2 1 Bow and Arrow 12.00 3.6 7-1
9 10 Warrior’s Map 3.50 4.1 8-1
3 2 Liken It 15.00 5.3 10-1
4 3 Young Bull 4.50 5.5 10-1
5 4 Its a Wrap 6.00 5.6 11-1
8 9 Jimi’s a Star 12.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Fredonian 8.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Muscadine 15.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Madison Joy 2.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Distorted Kitty 15.00 6 11-1
8 7 Shooting Stick 15.00 6.3 12-1
5 4 Light as a Whisper 4.50 6.4 12-1
7 6 Storm Breach 4.50 8.1 15-1
1A 11 Go My Juliet 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 My Baby Bele 20.00 10.6 20-1
6 5 Old Time Girl 20.00 10.7 20-1
1 8 Double Appeal 15.00 10.7 20-1
4 3 Zeatrical 3.50 10.8 20-1
2 1 My Little Guera 12.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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