Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, January 8, 2022

January 8, 2022 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Magic Ice 4.00 1.5 3-1
8 8 Ls’shoe’s Image 12.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Ourquickdrawmcgraw 6.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Young Tuscan 12.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Iknowididn’tdothat 4.50 5.1 10-1
6 6 Back Alley Jammin 4.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Mr. K W 12.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Basti Blue 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Cheapskate Diva 3.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Resposado 12.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Seriously Sam 6.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Akiane’s Soldier 4.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Dream Town 20.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Summer Is Hot 3.50 5.4 10-1
3 3 Mac Legacy 20.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Bad Gal Riri 20.00 6.1 11-1
4 4 Shelli’s Angel 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Lucky Linda 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Deano 4.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Kid Slipper 4.50 2.9 5-1
5 5 Harper’s Deelite 3.50 3 6-1
3 3 Mosta Flyin 6.00 3 6-1
7 7 Sir Advent 12.00 3 6-1
6 6 Glenn’s Jumper 3.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Magi 6.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Gunner Paul 5.00 2.3 4-1
11 11 Groom Lake 12.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Quiet Prayer 8.00 5.1 10-1
10 10 Chief Alpha 12.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Citadel 10.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Zoffa 4.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Aniclude 8.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Poseidon Wrath 15.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 A. K. Safari 8.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Runner 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Ultimate Irony 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Foolish Dreams 8.00 2 4-1
2 2 Touchdown Joe 6.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Mucho Marvin 8.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Chrompton 3.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Creole Charlie 2.00 5 9-1
5 5 Janets Jay Jay 3.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 6 Empty Holster 8.00 3.2 6-1
5 4 Indy Tourist 8.00 3.3 6-1
9 10 East Lex 10.00 5.7 11-1
2 1 Go Speed Racer Go 10.00 5.8 11-1
7 8 Smokey Harbor 4.50 6.2 12-1
1A 7 Policy Option 8.00 6.5 12-1
4 3 Duke of Carthania 4.00 7.6 14-1
6 5 Cave Hill 3.50 9.1 17-1
3 2 Twirling Roses 12.00 SCRATCH
8 9 Clear Humor 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Editor in Chief 3.50 1.5 3-1
3 3 Hombrazo 3.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Luckenbacher 10.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Cabertoss 10.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Scarlet Fusion 1.60 4.9 9-1
5 5 Perfect Cut 4.50 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Jibe 6.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Soulstone 12.00 2 4-1
4 4 Coco Puff 6.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Shegotthegoldmine 8.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Fancy Martini 8.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Trobairitz 4.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Bourn 5.00 5.1 10-1
10 10 Summer Tsunami 20.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Vinegar Veggies 10.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 Aboukir Bay 3.50 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Single Shot 12.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Half Magic 3.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Half Cappuccino 8.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Gutzy 3.00 5 10-1
2 2 Mr Elvin 2.50 5.8 11-1
5 5 Adieu Le Chat 6.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Starship Festival 12.00 8 15-1
8 8 Dignified N Krafty 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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Scoreboard
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Final
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4th - 4:13
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Final
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13:53 2nd
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Final
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Bottom 10th
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Top 8th
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Top 10th
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