January 8, 2022 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Magic Ice | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ls’shoe’s Image | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ourquickdrawmcgraw | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Young Tuscan | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Iknowididn’tdothat | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Back Alley Jammin | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. K W | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Basti Blue | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Cheapskate Diva | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Resposado | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Seriously Sam | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Akiane’s Soldier | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dream Town | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Summer Is Hot | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mac Legacy | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bad Gal Riri | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shelli’s Angel | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Linda | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Deano | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kid Slipper | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Harper’s Deelite | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mosta Flyin | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sir Advent | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Glenn’s Jumper | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Magi | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gunner Paul | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Groom Lake | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Quiet Prayer | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Chief Alpha | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Citadel | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zoffa | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Aniclude | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Poseidon Wrath | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | A. K. Safari | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Runner | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Ultimate Irony | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Foolish Dreams | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Touchdown Joe | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mucho Marvin | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chrompton | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Creole Charlie | 2.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Janets Jay Jay | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | Empty Holster | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Indy Tourist | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | East Lex | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Go Speed Racer Go | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Smokey Harbor | 4.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Policy Option | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Duke of Carthania | 4.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Cave Hill | 3.50 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Twirling Roses | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 9 | Clear Humor | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Editor in Chief | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hombrazo | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Luckenbacher | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cabertoss | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Scarlet Fusion | 1.60 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Perfect Cut | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Jibe | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Soulstone | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Coco Puff | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shegotthegoldmine | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fancy Martini | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Trobairitz | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bourn | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Summer Tsunami | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Vinegar Veggies | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Aboukir Bay | 3.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Single Shot | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Half Magic | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Half Cappuccino | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gutzy | 3.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr Elvin | 2.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Adieu Le Chat | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Starship Festival | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dignified N Krafty | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.