January 9, 2022 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Soupster | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Flower Moon | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Superbloodwolfmoon | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Delicious | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wicked Happy | 2.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gailhorsewind | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Thatsjustlovely | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Majestic Tiger | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Litterbox | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I’m Blaming You | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Scorpion Dynasty | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Black Irish | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mr Fantasy | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brockmoninoff | 3.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Remembermom | 3.50 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Boom Boom Kaboom | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hardly Working | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sonic Speed | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tamburro’s Sox | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sir William | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ghostmon | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Data Deal | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Charlotte Webley | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Addilyn | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Dazzling Speed | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Awesomenewyear | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Miss Peppina | 1.60 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Mebs Web | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Effiemeister | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Quantitativbreezin | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Matty’s Marauder | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Forgotten Mission | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ouch Ouch Ouch | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gotanda | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Rickys Revenge | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Victory Built | 3.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Coach Bahe | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Flipping Fun | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Papa Tom B | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Quintarelli | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Merchants of Cool | 2.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Irish Giant | 3.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Exxtop | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Deputy Flag | 3.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Our American Star | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Steelersfanforlife | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Eucharist | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Auburn Hills | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | King Kumbalay | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dust Devil | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | No Burn | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Waxman | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Winter Pool | 2.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Southern District | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Top Gun Tommy | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Rego Park S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | G Munning | 1.60 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Agility | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Always Charming | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Unique Unions | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Barese | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bali’s Shade | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Daufuskie Island | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Doin’ittherightway | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cut the Cord | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Cave Man | 10.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Beach Boy Al | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | State Planning | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bert Bert Bert | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | He’s Got It | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Clash A. J. | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Devious Banker | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Hot Stepper | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Eminency | 1.60 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Raw Courage | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.