Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, January 9, 2022

January 9, 2022 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Soupster 4.50 1.5 3-1
7 7 Flower Moon 1.60 1.8 3-1
4 4 Superbloodwolfmoon 20.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 My Delicious 6.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Wicked Happy 2.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Gailhorsewind 6.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Thatsjustlovely 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Majestic Tiger 2.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Litterbox 3.50 4.5 9-1
5 5 I’m Blaming You 4.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Scorpion Dynasty 12.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Black Irish 8.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Mr Fantasy 10.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Brockmoninoff 3.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Remembermom 3.50 5 10-1
3 3 Boom Boom Kaboom 3.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Hardly Working 5.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Sonic Speed 8.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Tamburro’s Sox 5.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Sir William 15.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Ghostmon 10.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Data Deal 4.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Charlotte Webley 10.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Addilyn 5.00 5.5 10-1
7 5 Dazzling Speed 30.00 6.3 12-1
8 6 Awesomenewyear 20.00 8 15-1
3 2 Miss Peppina 1.60 8.2 15-1
6 4 Mebs Web 12.00 8.3 16-1
2 2 Effiemeister 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Quantitativbreezin 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Matty’s Marauder 4.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Forgotten Mission 4.50 3.3 6-1
5 5 Ouch Ouch Ouch 6.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Gotanda 10.00 4.4 8-1
8 7 Rickys Revenge 3.50 4.7 9-1
2 2 Victory Built 3.00 6.1 11-1
3 3 Coach Bahe 12.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Flipping Fun 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Papa Tom B 10.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Quintarelli 20.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Merchants of Cool 2.50 6.2 12-1
5 5 Irish Giant 3.50 7.1 13-1
4 4 Exxtop 8.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Deputy Flag 3.00 8.3 16-1
8 8 Our American Star 20.00 8.3 16-1
2 2 Steelersfanforlife 12.00 8.5 16-1
6 6 Eucharist 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Auburn Hills 12.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 King Kumbalay 12.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Dust Devil 8.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 No Burn 4.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Waxman 3.50 5.8 11-1
6 6 Winter Pool 2.50 5.8 11-1
3 3 Southern District 5.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Top Gun Tommy 6.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Rego Park S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 G Munning 1.60 2.9 5-1
8 8 Agility 4.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Always Charming 20.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Unique Unions 4.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Barese 8.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Bali’s Shade 15.00 5 9-1
7 7 Daufuskie Island 5.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Doin’ittherightway 12.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Cut the Cord 20.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Cave Man 10.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Beach Boy Al 10.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 State Planning 8.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Bert Bert Bert 6.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 He’s Got It 6.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Clash A. J. 20.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Devious Banker 15.00 6 11-1
10 10 Hot Stepper 10.00 6.1 11-1
1 1 Eminency 1.60 6.6 12-1
6 6 Raw Courage 8.00 8.5 16-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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Scoreboard
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4th - 0:49
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Halftime
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5:03 3rd
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7:04 1st
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Final
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Top 9th
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Middle 6th
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Bottom 8th
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