Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, January 9, 2022

January 9, 2022 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Shadyfied 4.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Math Man 4.50 2.7 5-1
5 5 Kissalot 2.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Dr. Benny 3.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Webcam 6.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 William Gustavo 6.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 8 Kalliniki 5.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Champagne Horizon 5.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Sunday Scheming 6.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Good Mongolia 6.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 A Little Flyer 10.00 5.9 11-1
1 2 Havinfunyet 2.00 6.8 13-1
2 1 Malibu Moira 3.00 6.9 13-1
1A 7 Glance 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Thunk 4.50 1.6 3-1
7 7 Grief 3.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Got Kramer 5.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Lilrascalman 4.50 3.4 6-1
1 1 Mean Cannon 5.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Nosy Banker 4.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Adrenaline 12.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Jimmy Two Times 5.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 A Song for Arch 3.50 3 6-1
5 5 Changi 20.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Classy John 1.40 4.5 9-1
4 4 Drakkar 6.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 X Clown 2.50 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 5 Thirsty Betrayal 4.50 1.6 3-1
3 4 Hooperdrivesthboat 6.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Emerald Forest 0.80 2.9 6-1
2 2 Crime Spree 4.00 4.6 9-1
1A 3 Vice Versa 0.80 SCRATCH
5 6 Wandering West 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 New Eagle 3.50 1.8 3-1
7 7 Just Gun It 4.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Youvesaiditall 4.50 5.2 10-1
5 5 Nobrag Justfact 8.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Barleewon 8.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 War Chest 15.00 6 11-1
4 4 Picking Roses 1.60 SCRATCH
8 8 Off Sixes 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Tethered 12.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Moon Over Tuscany 4.50 4.1 8-1
6 6 Eli’s Girl 4.50 4.5 9-1
7 7 Freudian 2.50 7 13-1
2 2 Awesome Samantha 4.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Twin Cause 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Exceeding 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Country Time 3.00 4.2 8-1
8 7 Ephemeral 20.00 4.6 9-1
11 11 Candy’s Parade 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Chinatown Nancy 8.00 5.2 10-1
6 5 Empty Net 3.50 5.3 10-1
10 9 Brooklynn’s Dabomb 8.00 6.2 12-1
7 6 Alittlebitofsmarty 20.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 House of Targaryen 10.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 St Josephine 20.00 7.7 14-1
9 8 Coinmaker 8.00 9.4 18-1
4 4 Gottabegolden 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Priddis 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Satisfy U 3.50 4 8-1
13 11 B B Gun Bullseye 8.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Both Ours 20.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Two Punch Fist 5.00 5.1 10-1
8 7 American First 8.00 5.4 10-1
11 10 I’m a Custom to It 12.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Golden Artist 3.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Memphis Meltdown 20.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Custom Guitar 8.00 8.5 16-1
9 8 Autumn’s Lil Doll 8.00 9.3 18-1
7 7 Gamble On Gabby 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 La Feme Jolie 20.00 SCRATCH
10 9 Grey Grey 20.00 10.2 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.