January 9, 2022 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Shadyfied | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Math Man | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kissalot | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dr. Benny | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Webcam | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | William Gustavo | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 8 | Kalliniki | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Champagne Horizon | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sunday Scheming | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Good Mongolia | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | A Little Flyer | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Havinfunyet | 2.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Malibu Moira | 3.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Glance | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Thunk | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Grief | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Got Kramer | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lilrascalman | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mean Cannon | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nosy Banker | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Adrenaline | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Jimmy Two Times | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | A Song for Arch | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Changi | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Classy John | 1.40 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Drakkar | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | X Clown | 2.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 5 | Thirsty Betrayal | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 4 | Hooperdrivesthboat | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Emerald Forest | 0.80 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Crime Spree | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1A | 3 | Vice Versa | 0.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 6 | Wandering West | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | New Eagle | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Just Gun It | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Youvesaiditall | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nobrag Justfact | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Barleewon | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | War Chest | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Picking Roses | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Off Sixes | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tethered | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Moon Over Tuscany | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Eli’s Girl | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Freudian | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Awesome Samantha | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Twin Cause | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Exceeding | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Country Time | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ephemeral | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Candy’s Parade | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Chinatown Nancy | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Empty Net | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Brooklynn’s Dabomb | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Alittlebitofsmarty | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | House of Targaryen | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | St Josephine | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Coinmaker | 8.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gottabegolden | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Priddis | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Satisfy U | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | B B Gun Bullseye | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Both Ours | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Two Punch Fist | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | American First | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | I’m a Custom to It | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Artist | 3.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Memphis Meltdown | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Custom Guitar | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Autumn’s Lil Doll | 8.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gamble On Gabby | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | La Feme Jolie | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Grey Grey | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.