Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Monday, January 10, 2022

January 10, 2022 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Vicious Velma 3.50 1.1 2-1
6 5 Judy’s Design 4.00 1.4 3-1
4 3 Surrey 12.00 3.7 7-1
2 1 Supertaleofhoudini 5.00 3.9 7-1
7 6 Face Card Contessa 5.00 4.2 8-1
3 2 Hero’s Daughter 4.50 5.8 11-1
1 1 Livy B 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Crusader Express 3.50 1.5 3-1
6 6 Gallant Star 4.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Custom Kat 2.50 3.8 7-1
3 3 Von Dom 8.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Miss Jenny’s Halo 8.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Blazing Fire 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 I’m Always Late 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 4 Shar’s Treasure 8.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 One Time Gem 6.00 2.6 5-1
9 5 Mr. Quality 3.00 4 7-1
2 2 Color Fast 8.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Shippingport 6.00 8.3 16-1
4 4 Vincitore 2.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Vision of Angels 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Briar Jumper 4.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Tio Blas 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Ready Redding 5.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Wild Firemaker 2.50 3 6-1
2 2 Bold Zarb 6.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Semi Charmed Life 8.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Perfecture 4.50 3.9 7-1
1 1 Chambliss 3.50 4.3 8-1
3 3 My Guitar 8.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 Burninhunkoflove 1.60 1.6 3-1
5 3 Corrente de Ouro 8.00 2.9 5-1
2 1 Harmon Killer Brew 5.00 3.5 7-1
3 2 Levee Proud 4.50 4.6 9-1
6 4 Baltic Fleet 4.50 5.5 10-1
1 1 Mizzen Man 5.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Twentyone N Change 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Cold Hearted Wench 4.50 2.3 4-1
7 7 Total Malice 5.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 J Z’s First 6.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Veilazig 3.50 3.4 6-1
6 6 Princess Renee 3.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Nofansinthestands 3.50 4.4 8-1
1 1 Baby Maybe 20.00 4.5 8-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Takafumi (BRZ) 3.50 2.5 5-1
6 5 Shake Some Action 3.00 2.7 5-1
7 6 Order for Porky 8.00 4.7 9-1
2 1 Danville 12.00 4.8 9-1
3 2 My Bariley 6.00 4.9 9-1
4 3 Zanesville 6.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Majestic Sign 5.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Mishko 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Coach Hudson 4.50 2.2 4-1
4 3 Scary Larry 3.50 2.5 5-1
8 7 Coal Town Road 8.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Steely Danza 1.60 5 10-1
6 5 Oxbow Wind 8.00 5.1 10-1
7 6 Youkillinmecat 20.00 6 11-1
1 1 El Mic Tiesun 10.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Chief Charlie 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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