January 11, 2022 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Longtail | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Commissioner Dave | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lawlessness | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Greyzer | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Eye of Gunfighter | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wick | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | One Two Kid | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | This Ill Defend | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | The Big Grey | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cant Stop This Man | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Excursion | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rack Gin | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Don’t Recall | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Maine | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Passage of Lines | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Wonder City | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bellamy’spartygirl | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Allegretto | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Speightster’s Gold | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Just a Dream | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pasatime | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Oui Madame | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sharon’s Law | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shes Euphoric | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bavaria | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Admiral Eastwood | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mountain Tree | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Grandfire | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Elite Mission | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Green Growth | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | American River (VEN) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Stopit | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Chub On Da Run | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Twirling Wind | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Determined Love | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Anginetti | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cardi G | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Polo Player | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Melodious Singer | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Zecha | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Misty Mauve | 1.20 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Frieder Fanatic | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Reid’s Fangirl | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Paper Mansion | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Eighty Eight Keys | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dune Jumper | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Argentina Girl | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Poor No More | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Factor This In | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Exit Right | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sacramento Q | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Robert | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Noon Time Gem | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ahsad | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kings Highway | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Arrivederci | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Loverboy Lou | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | American Unity | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pategory One | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Brilliant Chase | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Alfatei | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jw’strickymischief | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ego Man | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Breithorn | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Olympic Romp | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fast Bob | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ronin Warrior | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shooger Ray Too | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Maybe After Later | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Commissioner G | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nimble Beast | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Starship Gotham | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kodapendent | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Late to the Show | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stella’s Tour | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | He Runs the Line | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Will Take Control | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tequilamademedoit | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | O’Brien | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Factum Love Style | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nicky Da Fox | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.