January 13, 2022 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | It’s Time Baby | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Overly Sweet | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sterling Memory | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Marilyn’s Magic | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lumberjack Empire | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mschitchattour | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lake Sense | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rebel Vision | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Conative | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Dried Pepper | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Common Knowledge | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Papa Bro | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | O’L Red | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | McLean | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 7 | Union Ride | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Yes Bab | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Girls Count | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Oak Hill Seniorita | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Lucca’s Lilyby | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Alhambra Palace | 6.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Citizens Reward | 2.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Time to Sleep | 5.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Go My Juliet | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Prissy Jaden | 6.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Standupdon’tkneel | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Counterfeit | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lundi | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Double Priority | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gottatakehimto | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Majestic Society | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jr’s Sauvage | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ide Like Hawaii | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Calico Joe | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Darkness Trembles | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Butwaitthere’smore | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Meant for Me | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Amandas New Man | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Crooked Banker | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Full of Glory | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | She’s Gone d’Wild | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Nitap | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Saber Cut | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Oretta | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Smok’n Rita | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Inawic | 1.80 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Silver Siren | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tesuque | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Isolation | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Laurieann | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blazing Charm | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Matapan | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Little Jen | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Grand Prize | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 8 | She a Hot Mess | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Puye Timing | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Georgia Dawn | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bow Bow Girl | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1A | 6 | Bar Tap | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Frosted | 1.80 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Four Princesses | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Eileen Alexandra | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kind Ways | 4.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Streamer | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Table One | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Interatifwithleu | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Roll On Baby | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss E. Fu | 2.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stormy Sunrise | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Social Galaxy | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Klassy Point | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.