Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, January 13, 2022

January 13, 2022 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 It’s Time Baby 3.50 1.3 2-1
2 2 Overly Sweet 12.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Sterling Memory 10.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Marilyn’s Magic 3.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Lumberjack Empire 12.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Mschitchattour 4.50 5.5 10-1
7 7 Lake Sense 4.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Rebel Vision 6.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 Conative 2.00 1 2-1
6 4 Dried Pepper 8.00 4.1 8-1
5 3 Common Knowledge 3.50 5.4 10-1
2 1 Papa Bro 5.00 6.4 12-1
1A 6 O’L Red 4.00 6.9 13-1
3 2 McLean 6.00 7.1 13-1
1 7 Union Ride 4.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Yes Bab 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Girls Count 3.50 4.9 9-1
1 1 Oak Hill Seniorita 10.00 5.9 11-1
9 8 Lucca’s Lilyby 20.00 6.6 12-1
7 6 Alhambra Palace 6.00 6.6 13-1
8 7 Citizens Reward 2.50 6.7 13-1
2 2 Time to Sleep 5.00 7.5 14-1
6 5 Go My Juliet 15.00 8.8 17-1
5 4 Prissy Jaden 6.00 8.9 17-1
4 4 Standupdon’tkneel 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Counterfeit 2.50 1.3 2-1
6 6 Lundi 3.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Double Priority 5.00 4 8-1
3 3 Gottatakehimto 6.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Majestic Society 4.50 4.4 8-1
1 1 Jr’s Sauvage 8.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Ide Like Hawaii 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Calico Joe 1.00 1 2-1
1 1 Darkness Trembles 5.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Butwaitthere’smore 12.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Meant for Me 4.00 4 8-1
5 5 Amandas New Man 15.00 4 8-1
7 7 Crooked Banker 6.00 7 13-1
6 6 Full of Glory 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 She’s Gone d’Wild 2.50 1.9 4-1
3 3 Miss Nitap 4.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Saber Cut 5.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Oretta 12.00 4 8-1
4 4 Smok’n Rita 15.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Inawic 1.80 4.9 9-1
7 7 Silver Siren 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Tesuque 1.80 1.1 2-1
7 7 Isolation 10.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Laurieann 4.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Blazing Charm 3.50 3.6 7-1
6 6 Matapan 4.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 My Little Jen 12.00 4 8-1
3 3 Grand Prize 8.00 4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 8 She a Hot Mess 15.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Puye Timing 10.00 2.8 5-1
8 9 Georgia Dawn 15.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Bow Bow Girl 3.50 4.6 9-1
1A 6 Bar Tap 4.50 4.6 9-1
2 2 Lady Frosted 1.80 5.6 11-1
3 3 Four Princesses 8.00 6 11-1
6 7 Eileen Alexandra 5.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Kind Ways 4.50 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Streamer 1.80 2.8 5-1
2 2 Table One 8.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Interatifwithleu 20.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Roll On Baby 20.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Miss E. Fu 2.50 5.8 11-1
7 7 Stormy Sunrise 4.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Social Galaxy 6.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Klassy Point 12.00 7.1 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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