January 13, 2022 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Scrappy | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hushed Court Room | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Absolutely Mindy | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Jackieleigh | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Reckless Sergeant | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Crafty Princess | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sayanotherprayer | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Super Et | 3.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Vision Board | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cause to Cruise | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lola Flo | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Costello’s Kitten | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rithmicallea | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Watsons Bay | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Silent Tap | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Exclaim | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Desoto’s War | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Plemmonston | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Familiar Ways | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Flashy Richie | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mists of Time | 0.80 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Formal Order | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Runner | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Gut Feeling | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Silver Nuggets | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Iberville | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | William’s Cause | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rule the Empire | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Uninvited Guest | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fightville | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Masquerade Ball | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cryptic Code | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Gunfighter | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Love Ran Red | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mishpachah | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Friend Mr. Jim | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Medley | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dreaming of Neany | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Averi Ever After | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | No Slo Mo | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Hot Stove League | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Courageously | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Future Perfect | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ready to Roll | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fed Money | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Long and Strong | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Filippo | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wine to Roses | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ultimate Irony | 4.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Supremacy | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Super Comet | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Snow House | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Santa Cruiser | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Starburst | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shackleford Strong | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Ioya Again | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pine Knoll | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gentle Soul | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Silver N Lai | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Attorney Tim | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Forever Mo | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Big Agenda | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fenwick Station | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | The Last Zip | 4.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Haleys Sailor | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Warrior in Chief | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | My Aim Is True | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ice Maiden | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chardonnay | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bird Empress | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gun Slingin | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Prima Ballerina | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bombarra Gold | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.