January 14, 2022 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lordhearmyprayer | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Becauseofthebrave | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | S Oh S | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dario’s Angel | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bad Breth | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Frosted Wild Ride | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | London Gold | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Alcools | 1.40 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mount Travers | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Easy Shot | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Somebody | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Banyan Breeze | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Just Right | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Competitive Saint | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Oh Mrs. Maisel | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Masabeeh | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Early Glow | 10.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Into Happiness | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Invincible | 30.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Khuluq | 0.80 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tarot Card | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Starship Reina | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gentle Annie | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Starship Goddess | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shadolamo | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cover Photo | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cartwheel | 1.20 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Amos | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Paddy’s Princess | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Peaches and Spice | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Tapizearance | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Deep Cover | 1.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Storm Shooter | 1.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lookin for Trouble | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Forty Comets | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Reggae Music Man | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Our Man Mike | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Papa Smooth | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Taco Bean | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lindros | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Scherzando | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | B C Glory Days | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | The Cobbler | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Brew Pub | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Feathers Road | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Street Culture | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | My Man Matty | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Musical America | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Two Thirty Five | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Hammerin Aamer | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mexican Wonder Boy | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Money Ride | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Striking Speed | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Hieroglyphics | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Mo Gotcha | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lost in Rome | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Pioneer Spirit | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Seven Lilies | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Prince of Pharoahs | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | No Salt | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Anything Pazible | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 7 | Bad Guy | 1.80 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2B | 10 | Yankee Division | 1.80 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Vintage Hollywood | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Water’s Edge | 4.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Jemography | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Blewitt | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Unbridled’s Reign | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Endless Crusade | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Half Birthday | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Tap the Heart | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Boom Roasted | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Lost Anchor | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Eudaimonia | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rock Lobster | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Strong Alpha | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sweetie Pie | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pals Ally | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Keen Dancer | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Midmon | 15.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 11 | 11 | The Honorable Ruth | 4.50 | 11.4 | 22-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.