January 15, 2022 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Where’s Val | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | War Novel | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Midaswellrun | 1.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Prince of Joy | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rye Runner | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Raising Sand | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Napoleon Complex | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cause of Action | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ninth Hour | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Getoffmyback | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Joycee Haz Pizzaz | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fast Loaded | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tale of Mist | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Belle Tapisserie | 1.60 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Healy’s Hope | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | I’m Listening | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bee Bit | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Customerexperience | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Charge Account | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mia Bea Star | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Equal Measure | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Makingcents | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Jacrodra’s Devil | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rosemary Potatoes | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ofalltheginjoints | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tweaqued | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Invasion | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Milagro | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rooski | 3.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Indoctrinate | 20.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jerusalem Gates | 1.80 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bellamy Dolce | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Esor | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fotis | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mucho Sunshine | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Blame It On Brutus | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Breaking Stones | 2.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Fidget | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mandatory Payout | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | It’s Mandatory | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Super John | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Demo Doctor | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Confectioner | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Great Workout | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | What’s My Category | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Roman Empire | 3.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Orb in the Tower | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | More Moonshine | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kept Waiting | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Madera | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Plume | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Roxy Girl | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Firing Carol | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Timed Out | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Primacy | 4.50 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Franklin Square S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Thinking It Over | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Leeloo | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Thin Legs | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sterling Silver | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Moam | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Meraviglioso | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shesawildjoker | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Flip My Id | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sandy’s Garden | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Koosman | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | My Last Mission | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pursuit of Justice | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Silver Samurai | 2.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mango Beach | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vibe Setter | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | My Inspiration | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Lord Brownie | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Winetastic | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Martini Margarita | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wickosity | 6.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.