Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, January 15, 2022

January 15, 2022 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Where’s Val 6.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 War Novel 3.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 Midaswellrun 1.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Prince of Joy 30.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Rye Runner 6.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Raising Sand 4.50 5.8 11-1
3 3 Napoleon Complex 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Cause of Action 15.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Ninth Hour 8.00 3 6-1
5 5 Getoffmyback 3.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Joycee Haz Pizzaz 5.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Fast Loaded 4.50 3.7 7-1
8 8 Tale of Mist 20.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Belle Tapisserie 1.60 4.2 8-1
4 4 Healy’s Hope 15.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 I’m Listening 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Bee Bit 3.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Customerexperience 1.80 2 4-1
6 6 Charge Account 2.50 3.3 6-1
7 7 Mia Bea Star 20.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Equal Measure 10.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Makingcents 6.00 6.1 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Jacrodra’s Devil 8.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Rosemary Potatoes 6.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Ofalltheginjoints 6.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Tweaqued 1.80 2.8 5-1
3 3 Sweet Invasion 15.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Lady Milagro 4.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Rooski 3.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Indoctrinate 20.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Jerusalem Gates 1.80 3.8 7-1
8 8 Bellamy Dolce 15.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Esor 12.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Fotis 30.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Mucho Sunshine 15.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Blame It On Brutus 4.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Breaking Stones 2.50 5.6 11-1
2 2 Mr. Fidget 6.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Mandatory Payout 10.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 It’s Mandatory 4.50 3.2 6-1
6 6 Super John 3.50 3.3 6-1
7 7 Demo Doctor 4.50 4.2 8-1
9 9 Confectioner 30.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Great Workout 6.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 What’s My Category 12.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Roman Empire 3.00 5 10-1
1 1 Orb in the Tower 10.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 More Moonshine 6.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Kept Waiting 3.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Madera 20.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Golden Plume 3.50 4.1 8-1
2 2 My Roxy Girl 2.50 4.1 8-1
5 5 Firing Carol 15.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Timed Out 12.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Primacy 4.50 7.1 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Franklin Square S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Thinking It Over 4.50 1 2-1
6 6 Leeloo 3.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Thin Legs 20.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Sterling Silver 5.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Moam 3.50 4.1 8-1
1 1 Meraviglioso 15.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Shesawildjoker 4.50 5 9-1
7 7 Flip My Id 12.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Sandy’s Garden 10.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Koosman 8.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 My Last Mission 4.50 2.7 5-1
6 6 Pursuit of Justice 20.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Silver Samurai 2.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Mango Beach 15.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Vibe Setter 20.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 My Inspiration 15.00 5.3 10-1
11 11 Lord Brownie 10.00 6 11-1
4 4 Winetastic 8.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Martini Margarita 10.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Wickosity 6.00 9.7 18-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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