January 15, 2022 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Binding | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Greeley Went West | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lucky Streaker | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Power Jet | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Thirtysix G’s | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Caeus in Pasadena | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Queeten | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Wish Upon a Star | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Ballinonabudjet | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Bitsy’s Other Half | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | We Need a Five | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Ranch Badge | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Cpriority | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Grey Sloan | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ibeam | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Now Now Man | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Moment of Stardom | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Jack the Ripper (FR) | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chapel Barn | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lemon and Diem | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Club Soda | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Gray Blur | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Murdo | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jurisdiction | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Will Knows | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Honey Run | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zisisit (IRE) | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Poronui | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Girls House | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chopin Drive | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spring Magic | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cecilita | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Treasure of War | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Shishito (IRE) | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Hazy Command | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Great Adventure | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Delta Traveler | 1.80 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | That’s My Mama | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Box of Pictures | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fuhr Meo | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mrs. Necaise | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Mercedes Ladies | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Lady Churchill | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | I Hear You | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Strollin the Bayou | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Magical Peapod | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Apple Dapple | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Joy of Treasure | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Russian Mafia | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Clara Peeters (GB) | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Postnup | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Perfect Choice | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Misty Veil | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Malloy | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Gianna’s Gift | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Honorifique | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Green Monster | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ready Seeker | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | Short Summer Dress | 1.80 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Tizafeelin | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Hana Road | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mucho Macho Momma | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Now Yus Cant Leave | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Youens | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gambling Cat | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mo Normal | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Go Big Green | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Drawn to Race (GER) | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Believing | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Scarlett Lace | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Forever Dreaming | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | I’m Fine | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Blossom Road | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 7 | Line Change | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Candy Landing | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Strava | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bodock | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | Baladi | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Peso in My Pocket | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hoist the Gold | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.