January 16, 2022 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Fazaro | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Smart Storm | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Necromancer | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Irie Spice | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | King of Hollywood | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Writeitontheice | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | R Doc | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Stencil | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Summary Judgment | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Boss Cara | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Linny Kate | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Candy Monet | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cinderella’s Cause | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Awesome Indra | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Mia | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Quality Stones | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jen’s Battle | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Guns Blazing | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Baba | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Greatest Love | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tempermental | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Galaxina | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stone Creator | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Laochi | 0.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Over the Sand | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Malala | 30.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Costanti | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Rocco Strong | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big Castle | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chase the Cat | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Prayer Book | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mister Winston | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Realm | 1.20 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Purple Hearted | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Good Culture | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Runningwscissors | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Competitive Saint | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr Phil | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Secret Rules | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Engine | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wudda U Think Now | 1.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Blood Moon | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Magnetron | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trappeze Artist | 30.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Threethehardway | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Playwright | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flowers for Lisa | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Invest | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Marble Moon | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Legit | 3.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Ladies S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Exotic West | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Battle Bling | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Leslie | 1.60 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Its Cold in Dehere | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kiss the Girl | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vienna Code | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Cagney | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bench Walk | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Eddie the Great | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Empire Station | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sell Something | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Southern Civility | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kong Loves a Fight | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miracle Nicky | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Silvermill | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Resilient Courage | 3.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.