Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, January 16, 2022

January 16, 2022 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


Try SFTB Plus for Free

$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.

Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!

Learn More

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Rio Ocho (IRE) 1.60 1.6 3-1
5 5 Flintmore 2.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 Oncoming 3.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Just About Enough 6.00 3 6-1
1 1 Flint Stroll 5.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Daniel’s Magic 12.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Delta Wind 2.50 1.6 3-1
3 3 Rose’s Crystal 4.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Issa Court 5.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Big Mama Sue 3.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Secret Square 2.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Gotta Be Lucky 15.00 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Vigilantia 3.00 1.3 3-1
1 1 Laura Mars (IRE) 4.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Mendham Mill 2.50 1.9 4-1
5 5 M Is for Magic 3.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Sinners Saints 8.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 She Shot Me Down 12.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 What a Feeling 8.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Perfecto Amor 2.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Bold Voyager 3.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Lightning Fast 6.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Sometimes Always 3.50 3.4 6-1
4 4 Gerlach’s 2.50 3.7 7-1
5 5 Mongol Altai 10.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 My Summer Dream 2.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Dixie’s Two Stents 2.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Sai Con (FR) 1.80 3.7 7-1
3 3 Exit Row 6.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Weegee 12.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Cardoza 30.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Sting Like a Bee 30.00 6.6 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Little Rachel 1.60 1.7 3-1
5 4 Smoothlikebuttah 3.00 2.8 5-1
6 5 Roses R Blue 5.00 3 6-1
3 3 Del Mar Drama 5.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Little Miss Ellie 3.50 3.9 7-1
4 4 Supersonic Flyer 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Virulente (FR) 3.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Liam’s Dove 2.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Rock the Belles 5.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Shes Bout a Mover 8.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Impeachd Alexander (IRE) 4.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Baby Steps 5.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Half Past Twelve 15.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Gracelund Gray 15.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Smitten by Kitten 3.50 1.5 3-1
1 1 Li’l Grazen 3.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Saturday Heist 3.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Hot Rageous 5.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Mucha Woman 4.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Wishtheyallcouldbe 8.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Shanghai Sunrise 8.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Constitutionaffair 3.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Irish Heatwave 2.50 2.9 5-1
1 1 Fly to Mars 3.50 3.7 7-1
7 7 Fly Nightly 5.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Niles Channel 6.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Hapi Hapi 12.00 5 10-1
5 5 Liberal (IRE) 5.00 5.3 10-1
8 98 Tembo 0.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Upcoming Bankroll Contests
Go To Lobby
SFTB Plus

$10 a Month Gets You DFS Optimizers, Horse Racing Advanced Stats, and More.

Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!

Learn More
SFTB Parties

Choose Your Events and Create Your Own Sportsbook for You and Your Friends.

Only $3 to set up, and includes unlimited guests.

Learn More