January 17, 2022 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ronalds Gatsby | 10.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Battle of Will | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Half Cappuccino | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Scoring Drive | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Putthehammerdown | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Catchin Drama | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Into Wishing | 4.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Blaze of Gray | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ole Stud Muffin | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Runwildwithdreams | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Both Ours | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Distorted Kitty | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Kellie Mae | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mrs. Della | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tugboat | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Double Appeal | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mac Legacy | 4.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Funkylittleshack | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | B D Valeski | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mizzen Man | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lunar Rocket | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bet He’s Ready | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Framed | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cyclone | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Prayforpeace | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Vintage Vinyl | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Speak to Me | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Platinum Queen | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Missing Piece | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thetruthisthetruth | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hotmolly | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ourperfectprincess | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eve’s Delight | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Haddassah’s Devil | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Zippin Gigi | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Lionesque | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lucky Crusader | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Old Forty Five | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Marquee Ride | 3.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Overanalytical | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Gran Muchaco | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | King Tuff | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Vasilevskiy (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Whiskey Gent | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Hero Dragon | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Math Man | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Mrtandroseysboy | 20.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Invincibility | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sir Giannis | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Flying Curlin | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | First Glimpse | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Oncoming Train | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Alebrije | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Lord Zed | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mosh Pit | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Holy City | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Keys Included | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lapis Lazuli | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Twentyone N Change | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Street N Sour | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brunson | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Planters Punch | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Holden Pass | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Reachforthesaber | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Forty Three | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Doctrinaire | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | R and R Star | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Catalina Latrina | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Permanentdetention | 8.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Al’s Honour | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Argybargy Buck | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Priority Points | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Conquistador Gold | 8.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Customize My Quest | 3.50 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.