Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Monday, January 17, 2022

January 17, 2022 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Ronalds Gatsby 10.00 3.4 7-1
6 6 Battle of Will 2.50 3.5 7-1
4 4 Half Cappuccino 10.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Scoring Drive 5.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Putthehammerdown 3.00 6 11-1
7 7 Catchin Drama 20.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Into Wishing 4.50 6.9 13-1
9 9 Blaze of Gray 12.00 7 13-1
3 3 Ole Stud Muffin 20.00 8.5 16-1
10 10 Runwildwithdreams 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Both Ours 8.00 1.3 2-1
6 5 Distorted Kitty 20.00 2.5 5-1
3 2 Kellie Mae 20.00 5.6 11-1
4 3 Mrs. Della 4.50 5.7 11-1
8 7 Tugboat 4.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Double Appeal 20.00 6.9 13-1
5 4 Mac Legacy 4.50 7.4 14-1
2 2 Funkylittleshack 1.40 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 B D Valeski 10.00 1 2-1
3 3 Mizzen Man 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Lunar Rocket 4.50 3 6-1
6 6 Bet He’s Ready 2.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Framed 3.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Cyclone 6.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Prayforpeace 5.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 Vintage Vinyl 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Speak to Me 5.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Platinum Queen 3.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 The Missing Piece 5.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Thetruthisthetruth 2.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Hotmolly 6.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Ourperfectprincess 4.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Eve’s Delight 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Haddassah’s Devil 10.00 4 7-1
5 4 Zippin Gigi 4.50 4.3 8-1
10 9 Lionesque 10.00 6.7 13-1
6 5 Lucky Crusader 8.00 6.7 13-1
7 6 Old Forty Five 8.00 6.7 13-1
4 3 Marquee Ride 3.50 6.9 13-1
9 8 Overanalytical 4.00 6.9 13-1
2 1 Gran Muchaco 8.00 8 15-1
1 1 King Tuff 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Vasilevskiy (IRE) 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Whiskey Gent 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Hero Dragon 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Math Man 12.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Mrtandroseysboy 20.00 12.1 23-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Invincibility 5.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Sir Giannis 2.50 2.4 5-1
4 3 Flying Curlin 3.00 3 6-1
3 2 First Glimpse 5.00 4.4 8-1
6 5 Oncoming Train 3.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Alebrije 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Lord Zed 3.50 1.5 3-1
5 4 Mosh Pit 8.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Holy City 6.00 3.7 7-1
3 2 Keys Included 6.00 5.1 10-1
4 3 Lapis Lazuli 4.00 6.7 13-1
6 5 Twentyone N Change 8.00 7.8 15-1
8 7 Street N Sour 8.00 8.1 15-1
2 2 Brunson 4.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Planters Punch 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Holden Pass 8.00 3.5 7-1
12 10 Reachforthesaber 10.00 4.4 8-1
11 9 Forty Three 5.00 4.5 9-1
3 2 Doctrinaire 4.00 4.5 9-1
7 6 R and R Star 8.00 6.5 12-1
9 7 Catalina Latrina 20.00 7.6 14-1
5 4 Permanentdetention 8.00 9.6 18-1
1 1 Big Al’s Honour 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Argybargy Buck 15.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Priority Points 20.00 10.4 20-1
10 8 Conquistador Gold 8.00 10.5 20-1
2 1 Customize My Quest 3.50 11.1 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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