Sports from the Basement

Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Monday, January 17, 2022

January 17, 2022 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Hair of the Dog 8.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Degas 12.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Top Boss 10.00 3 6-1
1 1 Mutakaamil 3.50 3.5 7-1
7 7 Charm City Band 4.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Stay In 3.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Rising Perry 2.50 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Skylar’s Lady 6.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Middle Island 2.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Bonnie Bluetooth 15.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Miz the Best 12.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Holiday Connection 15.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Sommer Velvet 4.50 4.7 9-1
1 1 Chica Rabiosa 1.60 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Dial Emma Reilly 12.00 2 4-1
2 2 Walk It Out Nanny 15.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Love Is Strong 8.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Mikey’s Jewel 8.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Youknowwhatitizzz 20.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Miss Moreno 1.60 5.6 11-1
7 7 Betcha by Golly 2.50 7.2 14-1
4 4 Flower’s Fortune 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Momza 12.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Badger Tooth 10.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Bakeneko 8.00 3 6-1
7 7 Triple Titos 12.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Narmer 3.50 3.8 7-1
3 3 Rad Paisley 12.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Tate 1.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Titan’s Will 20.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Clubman 6.00 4.4 8-1
3 2 Spotted Bull 15.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Bardolino 12.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Bahama Channel 3.50 5.4 10-1
1A 10 Solomonic 4.00 5.8 11-1
4 3 Bellarmine Hall 3.00 6 11-1
6 5 Twitty City 8.00 6.3 12-1
2 1 Swing West 10.00 8.3 16-1
1 6 Fast Loaded 4.00 SCRATCH
10 11 Crush It 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Miner’s Gem 4.00 3.8 7-1
5 4 Ran Char 10.00 4.2 8-1
6 5 Maureenlovesfrank 12.00 4.2 8-1
4 3 Tequila Fog 6.00 4.5 9-1
1 7 Twirling Wind 6.00 4.9 9-1
9 10 Miss Old Bay 3.50 5.3 10-1
3 2 Devilish Affair 12.00 6.3 12-1
1A 9 Majestic Blend 6.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Grace Isabella 20.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Marvella Nasty 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Sassy King 20.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Royal Number 6.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Ink 8.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Tiz Mandate 4.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Friendly Fella 3.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Ratify 6.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Armando R 8.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Reassured 10.00 6 11-1
8 8 Mohaafeth 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Benandjoe 10.00 2.4 4-1
7 7 Treasure Trove 4.50 2.7 5-1
8 8 Bumperdoo 3.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Caribbean (AUS) 20.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Stone Courageous 12.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Closer Look 6.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 He’s a Shooter 5.00 6 11-1
3 3 Boss Logic 2.50 6.1 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Click to Confirm 8.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Lady Zeta 6.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Paynt by Number 10.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Sweet Gracie 4.50 3.4 6-1
7 7 Money’s Worth 3.50 3.5 7-1
8 8 Mama G’s Wish 4.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 She Is Wisky 5.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Moody Woman 8.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Honor Your Mother 6.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Notion Interruptus 12.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Fortes 4.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 Flava’s Dream 8.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Rapidamente 5.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Hufflepuff 2.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Special Freedom 3.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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