Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Monday, January 17, 2022

January 17, 2022 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Gold Phoenix (IRE) 2.50 1.1 2-1
3 3 Tigerhon (FR) 3.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Mucho Del Oro 5.00 2.9 6-1
7 7 Noble Reflection 5.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 I’ll Stand Taller 8.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Newpark (IRE) 6.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Elusive Treat (GB) 8.00 6.6 12-1
8 8 Run Snappy 12.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Wild Arch 6.00 2 4-1
1 1 Scream and Shout 0.80 2.5 5-1
4 4 Season to Remember 3.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Happy Trails 3.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Tippy Top 15.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Acoustic Shadow 2.50 1.2 2-1
5 5 Witch Moon 3.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 Lady Macarena 4.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Floral Essence 3.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Golden Journey 8.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Twirling Grace 3.50 4.1 8-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Dutch Bus 5.00 2 4-1
2 2 Big Well 3.00 2.4 4-1
5 5 Rocketcent 5.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Careless Kitten 2.50 2.9 5-1
6 6 Verragio 3.00 4 7-1
1 1 The Boss Harty 8.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Tom Bombadil 12.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Buzz of New York (IRE) 3.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Soaring Sky (IRE) 8.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Fearless Girl (IRE) 6.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Cider Apple (GB) 4.00 3 6-1
1 1 Noble Hearted 6.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Closing Remarks 2.50 4.9 9-1
8 8 Derby Quest 50.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Sommer Daisy (FR) 6.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Black Storm 2.50 1.5 3-1
6 6 Storminside 3.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Starship Chewbacca 3.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Satanta 5.00 3 6-1
3 3 No More Fireball 5.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Tacoflavoredkisses 6.00 5 9-1
7 7 Street Vision 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Astra S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Neige Blanche (FR) 0.40 1.4 3-1
2 2 Disappearing Act 4.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Reiwa 5.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Scherzo (GB) 6.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Frose 20.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Unbroken Star 1.80 1.1 2-1
4 4 Buttered Noodles 3.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Tembo 3.50 3.8 7-1
5 5 Going With Style 5.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Big Buzz 6.00 5 9-1
6 6 Sly 5.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Nice Ice 2.00 2 4-1
2 2 Clearly Gone 2.50 2.7 5-1
5 5 Trickle In 5.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Bye Bye Bertie 4.00 4.9 9-1
9 8 Kleen Karma 15.00 5 9-1
3 3 Over Attracted 12.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 A New Peace 15.00 6.6 12-1
8 7 Zabava 10.00 6.8 13-1
6 98 Gold Included 0.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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