January 20, 2022 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Solid Tune | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Afilada | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Surprise | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rvalentina | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Et’s Premonition | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sealithic | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Prince James | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Great Workout | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Conformist | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Demo Doctor | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Confectioner | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Irish Giant | 3.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Blake B. | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Game Theory | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Horseshoe Falls | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Tony’s Girl | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hey It’s Tati | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Glenmore | 2.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lot of Honey | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sudden Impulse | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | We Ready | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Romantic Man | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Cousin Rich | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mister J T | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Motion to Strike | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tough Workout | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Kentucky Knight | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | I Am the Cash Man | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | B B’s Busted | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Honey Money | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dancing Kiki | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Frost Me | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Epona’s Dream | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Choose Happiness | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Super John | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | It’s Mandatory | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mandatory Payout | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Famished | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Roman Empire | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Orb in the Tower | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | What’s My Category | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Fingal | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Firing Carol | 12.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | More Moonshine | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Roxy Girl | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Plume | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Primacy | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Madera | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bravo Regina | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Timed Out | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kept Waiting | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Bointheback | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wild Carp Diem | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Crostata B C | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ria’s Angel | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gimmedamoney | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bosship | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Winetastic | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Walk the Bank | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dancing With Rico | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Johnselectricride | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.