Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, January 20, 2022

January 20, 2022 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Solid Tune 1.40 1 2-1
5 5 Afilada 1.60 2.3 4-1
1 1 Sweet Surprise 4.50 3.6 7-1
4 4 Rvalentina 12.00 4 8-1
2 2 Et’s Premonition 20.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Sealithic 5.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Prince James 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Great Workout 4.00 3.3 6-1
2 1 Conformist 6.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Demo Doctor 2.50 7 13-1
3 2 Confectioner 20.00 7 13-1
1 4 Irish Giant 3.00 7.3 14-1
1A 7 Blake B. 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Game Theory 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Horseshoe Falls 15.00 3 6-1
1 1 Big Tony’s Girl 3.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 Hey It’s Tati 3.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 The Glenmore 2.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Lot of Honey 8.00 7 13-1
7 7 Sudden Impulse 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 We Ready 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Romantic Man 3.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 My Cousin Rich 6.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Mister J T 6.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Motion to Strike 3.50 5.9 11-1
8 7 Tough Workout 4.00 6 11-1
7 6 Kentucky Knight 12.00 8 15-1
5 5 I Am the Cash Man 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 B B’s Busted 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Honey Money 2.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 Dancing Kiki 1.60 2.3 4-1
3 3 Frost Me 4.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Epona’s Dream 8.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Choose Happiness 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Super John 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 It’s Mandatory 4.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Mandatory Payout 10.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Famished 3.50 3.8 7-1
5 5 Roman Empire 3.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Orb in the Tower 10.00 8 15-1
3 3 What’s My Category 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Fingal 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Firing Carol 12.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 More Moonshine 6.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 My Roxy Girl 2.50 2.4 5-1
1 1 Golden Plume 3.50 3.2 6-1
6 6 Primacy 5.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Madera 20.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Bravo Regina 30.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Timed Out 10.00 9 17-1
4 4 Kept Waiting 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Bointheback 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Wild Carp Diem 4.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Crostata B C 12.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Ria’s Angel 15.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Gimmedamoney 3.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Bosship 10.00 5.1 10-1
10 10 Winetastic 6.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Walk the Bank 10.00 8.5 16-1
4 4 Dancing With Rico 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Johnselectricride 8.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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