January 20, 2022 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Maryjo’s Duchess | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
2 | 2 | Featherinherhalo | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
8 | 8 | Silver Chatain | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
6 | 6 | My Little Guera | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
5 | 5 | Shanghai Hetty | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
7 | 7 | Loco Lucy | 5.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
3 | 3 | Oklahoma Star | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
4 | 4 | Caged Bear | 3.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Classic Greeley | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
2 | 2 | Masterly | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
3 | 3 | Mr. Shortandsimple | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
7 | 7 | Mr Makeithappen | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
4 | 4 | Bet Again | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
5 | 5 | Stick | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
1 | 1 | Sonoma Crush | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 5 | Point Me Out | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
1 | 1 | Catalina Queen | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
2 | 2 | Blue Ridge Romance | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
4 | 4 | Say What | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
3 | 3 | Boston Belle | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
7 | 6 | Yes I’m a Lady | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
8 | 7 | Gotteminabind | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
9 | 8 | Katie’s C | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
5 | 5 | Goodbye Rosie | 5.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 5 | Ballerini | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
7 | 6 | Sassy Emma | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
1 | 1 | Splenda Gail | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
5 | 4 | Won Day | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
3 | 2 | Roll Baby | 1.80 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
4 | 3 | Cypress Queen | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
2 | 2 | Charlie T | 6.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Sir Overanalyze | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
7 | 7 | Kasens Train | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
4 | 4 | He’s a Classic | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
2 | 2 | Bassett | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
3 | 3 | Sweetsweetsong | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
5 | 5 | Thisguycanfly | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
6 | 6 | Sodbuster | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | 8 | The Thimble | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
2 | 2 | Oplin | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
4 | 4 | The Big Irishman | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
3 | 3 | Real Brave | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
5 | 5 | Party of Fifteen | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
6 | 6 | Flamin Fire | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
1 | 1 | Spirit Soul | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
10 | 9 | Flat Out Freed | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
7 | 7 | Chief Alpha | 2.50 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
8 | 8 | Range of Motion | 5.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 6 | Sweet Prayers | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
7 | 7 | Girl in Black | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
3 | 2 | Paisley Cross | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
6 | 5 | My Sister Annette | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
2 | 1 | Dixie Lady | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
5 | 4 | Tap Out Fast | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
4 | 3 | Track Smart | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
8 | 8 | Lady Hopper | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
1A | 7 | Sucre | 3.50 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | December Seven | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
8 | 8 | Bow and Arrow | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
3 | 3 | Fort Knox | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
1 | 1 | Muscadine | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
6 | 6 | Speedy Fellar | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
2 | 2 | Stephen’s Answer | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
5 | 5 | Pinch Assault | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
4 | 4 | Minnesota Miracle | 5.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
9 | 9 | My Book | 15.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | 7 | Unsolved | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
3 | 2 | Cowboy Hay Hay | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
1 | 5 | Jalapeno Supreme | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
5 | 4 | V. R. Friendlygary | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
7 | 6 | Boone Land Bye You | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
9 | 8 | He Is Worthy | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
1A | 9 | The Heat Is On | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
2 | 1 | The Z Man | 2.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
4 | 3 | William Gustavo | 3.50 | 10 | 19-1 | |
6 | 5 | Time Twister | 8.00 | SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.