Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, January 20, 2022

January 20, 2022 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Maryjo’s Duchess 10.00 1 2-1
2 2 Featherinherhalo 8.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Silver Chatain 4.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 My Little Guera 15.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Shanghai Hetty 2.50 4.5 9-1
7 7 Loco Lucy 5.00 7.9 15-1
3 3 Oklahoma Star 8.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Caged Bear 3.50 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Classic Greeley 8.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Masterly 1.80 2.7 5-1
3 3 Mr. Shortandsimple 4.00 3 6-1
7 7 Mr Makeithappen 10.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Bet Again 5.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Stick 15.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Sonoma Crush 3.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Point Me Out 4.50 1 2-1
1 1 Catalina Queen 8.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Blue Ridge Romance 2.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Say What 10.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Boston Belle 3.50 3.2 6-1
7 6 Yes I’m a Lady 10.00 3.2 6-1
8 7 Gotteminabind 15.00 5 9-1
9 8 Katie’s C 15.00 5 9-1
5 5 Goodbye Rosie 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Ballerini 12.00 1.7 3-1
7 6 Sassy Emma 6.00 4 7-1
1 1 Splenda Gail 4.50 4 7-1
5 4 Won Day 3.00 4 8-1
3 2 Roll Baby 1.80 4.7 9-1
4 3 Cypress Queen 8.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Charlie T 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sir Overanalyze 2.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Kasens Train 4.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 He’s a Classic 4.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Bassett 3.00 4 8-1
3 3 Sweetsweetsong 15.00 4 8-1
5 5 Thisguycanfly 15.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Sodbuster 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 The Thimble 3.50 3.6 7-1
2 2 Oplin 15.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 The Big Irishman 15.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Real Brave 10.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Party of Fifteen 8.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Flamin Fire 5.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Spirit Soul 15.00 5.9 11-1
10 9 Flat Out Freed 20.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Chief Alpha 2.50 8.1 15-1
8 8 Range of Motion 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 6 Sweet Prayers 3.50 4.4 8-1
7 7 Girl in Black 10.00 4.7 9-1
3 2 Paisley Cross 2.50 5.1 10-1
6 5 My Sister Annette 10.00 5.4 10-1
2 1 Dixie Lady 6.00 6.7 13-1
5 4 Tap Out Fast 5.00 6.9 13-1
4 3 Track Smart 4.50 7 13-1
8 8 Lady Hopper 12.00 9 17-1
1A 7 Sucre 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 December Seven 5.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Bow and Arrow 10.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Fort Knox 8.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Muscadine 8.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Speedy Fellar 4.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Stephen’s Answer 3.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Pinch Assault 10.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Minnesota Miracle 5.00 7.2 14-1
9 9 My Book 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Unsolved 4.50 1 2-1
3 2 Cowboy Hay Hay 8.00 1 2-1
1 5 Jalapeno Supreme 5.00 2.5 5-1
5 4 V. R. Friendlygary 12.00 3.5 7-1
7 6 Boone Land Bye You 20.00 5.5 10-1
9 8 He Is Worthy 20.00 5.5 10-1
1A 9 The Heat Is On 5.00 6.9 13-1
2 1 The Z Man 2.50 7.9 15-1
4 3 William Gustavo 3.50 10 19-1
6 5 Time Twister 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.