Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, January 20, 2022

January 20, 2022 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Stealing Apriority 12.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Louisiana Thunder 5.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Brad Eye 20.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Brook Is Golden 8.00 3 6-1
4 4 P T’s Flash 8.00 3 6-1
9 9 Barrel of Bourbon 6.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Shackle the Gold 10.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Perfect Perigee 2.50 4.3 8-1
1 1 Custom Sierra 3.50 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 2 Here Comes Kyle 3.50 2 4-1
8 5 Deano 6.00 4.6 9-1
2 1 W W Kan Do 6.00 4.7 9-1
6 3 Tale of a Storm 4.50 6.2 12-1
7 4 Curtin’s Up 3.00 6.6 12-1
1 5 Bourbon Tan 4.50 SCRATCH
1A 7 Channel Won 4.50 SCRATCH
3 2 Spectrolite 3.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Just Blaze 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Too Much Bourbon 4.50 2.2 4-1
2 2 Rahfees Man 6.00 2.2 4-1
5 4 Run Away Son 20.00 2.4 5-1
6 5 Aw Shucks 2.50 4 8-1
4 3 Sr. Clarky 10.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Cryptozonic 3.50 4.2 8-1
8 7 Allthewaywithtaye 6.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Makati Phil 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Perfect Diva 8.00 3.1 6-1
9 3 Sariah Sariah 4.00 5.8 11-1
3 2 Carson’s Princess 4.50 6.9 13-1
1 1 Runaway Henny 5.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Glitterary 3.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Blame the Gods 3.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Chinatown Nancy 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Listen Up 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 A Lot of Spunk 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Fired Up Tiger 3.50 1.9 4-1
2 2 Pinkaboo 8.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Dallas Volunteer 4.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Higher Note 4.50 2.4 5-1
3 3 Dial Ten for G 6.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Zenchua Sky 5.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Arrival Day 4.50 2.6 5-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 8 Lauri’s Wish 6.00 2.4 5-1
8 5 Real City Speed 8.00 3 6-1
4 3 Big Scully 8.00 3.4 6-1
9 6 Your Time’s Coming 6.00 4.4 8-1
2 1 Custom Bobby’s 3.50 5.1 10-1
5 4 Chrompton 8.00 6.2 12-1
3 2 Touchdown Joe 8.00 6.6 12-1
1A 12 Henning 4.50 SCRATCH
6 5 Everlovinghand 4.50 SCRATCH
7 6 My Nanny’s a Hoot 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Sy Michael 6.00 SCRATCH
1 7 Deer Crossing 4.50 10.8 20-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Chopped 6.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Henderson 8.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Courthouse Cove 8.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Whiskey Gent 4.50 1.9 4-1
7 6 Baltic Fleet 6.00 2.5 5-1
8 7 Snow Candy 4.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Excellency 4.50 4.5 9-1
6 6 Mud Island 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 3 Memphis Cash Queen 4.00 1.9 4-1
9 5 C C’s Cowgirl 6.00 2.2 4-1
7 4 Verdandi 8.00 2.3 4-1
11 7 Twin Cause 10.00 2.4 5-1
3 2 She’s Custom Made 12.00 2.9 5-1
10 6 Dressedtoimpress 12.00 6.2 12-1
2 1 Freudian 3.50 8.1 15-1
1 5 Junie 20.00 SCRATCH
1A 12 Burning Desire 20.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Sumting Right 6.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Golden Twist 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Earley Rose 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Autumn’s Super Ced 12.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Runninginthemoney 6.00 2 4-1
8 8 That One Guitar 8.00 2 4-1
4 4 Eddie’s Humor 5.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Renati 4.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 Basti Blue 3.50 2.2 4-1
2 2 Dont Cross El Hefe 10.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Big Boo 10.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Its Wild Again 5.00 2.8 5-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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