January 20, 2022 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Stealing Apriority | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Louisiana Thunder | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Brad Eye | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brook Is Golden | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | P T’s Flash | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Barrel of Bourbon | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shackle the Gold | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Perfect Perigee | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Custom Sierra | 3.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | Here Comes Kyle | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Deano | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | W W Kan Do | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Tale of a Storm | 4.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Curtin’s Up | 3.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Bourbon Tan | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 7 | Channel Won | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Spectrolite | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Just Blaze | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Too Much Bourbon | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rahfees Man | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Run Away Son | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Aw Shucks | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sr. Clarky | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cryptozonic | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Allthewaywithtaye | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Makati Phil | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Perfect Diva | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 3 | Sariah Sariah | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Carson’s Princess | 4.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Runaway Henny | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Glitterary | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Blame the Gods | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Chinatown Nancy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Listen Up | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | A Lot of Spunk | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fired Up Tiger | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pinkaboo | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dallas Volunteer | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Higher Note | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dial Ten for G | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zenchua Sky | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Arrival Day | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 8 | Lauri’s Wish | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Real City Speed | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Big Scully | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Your Time’s Coming | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Custom Bobby’s | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Chrompton | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Touchdown Joe | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1A | 12 | Henning | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Everlovinghand | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | My Nanny’s a Hoot | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Sy Michael | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 7 | Deer Crossing | 4.50 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Chopped | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Henderson | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Courthouse Cove | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Whiskey Gent | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Baltic Fleet | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Snow Candy | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Excellency | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mud Island | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 3 | Memphis Cash Queen | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | C C’s Cowgirl | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Verdandi | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Twin Cause | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | She’s Custom Made | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Dressedtoimpress | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Freudian | 3.50 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Junie | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 12 | Burning Desire | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Sumting Right | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Golden Twist | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Earley Rose | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Autumn’s Super Ced | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Runninginthemoney | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | That One Guitar | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eddie’s Humor | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Renati | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Basti Blue | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dont Cross El Hefe | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Boo | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Its Wild Again | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.