Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Friday, January 21, 2022

January 21, 2022 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 McQueen’s Bullitt 2.50 1.9 4-1
5 5 Battle Map 15.00 2 4-1
6 6 Exalted Charm 1.20 2.1 4-1
4 4 Flying With Angels 3.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Rye Runner 15.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Lucky Brody 5.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bezos 1.80 3.8 7-1
2 2 Bar Fourteen 3.50 3.9 7-1
6 6 Uno 2.50 3.9 7-1
5 5 Full Moon Fever 6.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Actuary (GB) 10.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Straight Skinny 4.50 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 My Little Lulu 30.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Bonana Fanna Foe 10.00 4 7-1
2 2 Love’s Misery 4.50 4.1 8-1
7 7 Cinnamon Dream 10.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Inouaintalkintome 2.50 4.4 8-1
5 5 Phenomenal Woman 2.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Emerald Banker 30.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Reeley Psyched 3.50 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Indoctrinate 20.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Esor 10.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Jerusalem Gates 1.80 3.7 7-1
9 9 Bellamy Dolce 15.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Mr. Fidget 6.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Mucho Sunshine 15.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Fotis 30.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Blame It On Brutus 4.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Breaking Stones 2.50 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 R Boy Bode 15.00 2.4 5-1
8 8 Fleet Warrior 3.50 4.3 8-1
9 9 Cause of Action 10.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Bourbon Mission 4.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Tale of Mist 6.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Ninth Hour 4.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Healy’s Hope 6.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Winning Drive 6.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 High Command 12.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Missalpha 4.50 2.1 4-1
7 7 Sicilia Mike 15.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Steam Engine 3.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Golani Brigade 5.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Binkster 20.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Writer’s Regret 12.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Dark Money 4.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 P J Advantage 12.00 5.2 10-1
11 11 Manifest Destiny 20.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Gandy Dancing 30.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Dream Bigger 6.00 9.9 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Jacrodra’s Devil 8.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Tweaqued 1.80 2.6 5-1
1 1 Ofalltheginjoints 6.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Rosemary Potatoes 5.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Lady Milagro 4.50 4.1 8-1
7 7 Sweet Invasion 15.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Rooski 3.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Koosman 10.00 2.3 4-1
6 5 Silver Samurai 2.50 3 6-1
5 4 My Last Mission 5.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Lord Brownie 12.00 5.1 10-1
2 1 Pursuit of Justice 20.00 5.3 10-1
3 2 Vibe Setter 30.00 5.3 10-1
1 6 Looking to Heaven 10.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Mango Beach 15.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 My Inspiration 15.00 7.1 13-1
1A 12 Martini Margarita 10.00 7.3 14-1
4 3 Wickosity 8.00 7.4 14-1
11 11 Workingman’s Dude 3.00 8.3 16-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement providesĀ no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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