January 21, 2022 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | McQueen’s Bullitt | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
5 | 5 | Battle Map | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
6 | 6 | Exalted Charm | 1.20 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
4 | 4 | Flying With Angels | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
1 | 1 | Rye Runner | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
2 | 2 | Lucky Brody | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Bezos | 1.80 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
2 | 2 | Bar Fourteen | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
6 | 6 | Uno | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
5 | 5 | Full Moon Fever | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
4 | 4 | Actuary (GB) | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
3 | 3 | Straight Skinny | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | My Little Lulu | 30.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
4 | 4 | Bonana Fanna Foe | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
2 | 2 | Love’s Misery | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
7 | 7 | Cinnamon Dream | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
1 | 1 | Inouaintalkintome | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
5 | 5 | Phenomenal Woman | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
3 | 3 | Emerald Banker | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
8 | 8 | Reeley Psyched | 3.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Indoctrinate | 20.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
1 | 1 | Esor | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
5 | 5 | Jerusalem Gates | 1.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
9 | 9 | Bellamy Dolce | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
3 | 3 | Mr. Fidget | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
7 | 7 | Mucho Sunshine | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
4 | 4 | Fotis | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
8 | 8 | Blame It On Brutus | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
6 | 6 | Breaking Stones | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | R Boy Bode | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
8 | 8 | Fleet Warrior | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
9 | 9 | Cause of Action | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
2 | 2 | Bourbon Mission | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
5 | 5 | Tale of Mist | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
6 | 6 | Ninth Hour | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
3 | 3 | Healy’s Hope | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
7 | 7 | Winning Drive | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
4 | 4 | High Command | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | 10 | Missalpha | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
7 | 7 | Sicilia Mike | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
4 | 4 | Steam Engine | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
1 | 1 | Golani Brigade | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
5 | 5 | Binkster | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
9 | 9 | Writer’s Regret | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
6 | 6 | Dark Money | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
2 | 2 | P J Advantage | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
11 | 11 | Manifest Destiny | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
8 | 8 | Gandy Dancing | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
3 | 3 | Dream Bigger | 6.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Jacrodra’s Devil | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
5 | 5 | Tweaqued | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
1 | 1 | Ofalltheginjoints | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
6 | 6 | Rosemary Potatoes | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
3 | 3 | Lady Milagro | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
7 | 7 | Sweet Invasion | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
2 | 2 | Rooski | 3.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | 10 | Koosman | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
6 | 5 | Silver Samurai | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
5 | 4 | My Last Mission | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
7 | 7 | Lord Brownie | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
2 | 1 | Pursuit of Justice | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
3 | 2 | Vibe Setter | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
1 | 6 | Looking to Heaven | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
9 | 9 | Mango Beach | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
8 | 8 | My Inspiration | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
1A | 12 | Martini Margarita | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
4 | 3 | Wickosity | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
11 | 11 | Workingman’s Dude | 3.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.