Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Friday, January 21, 2022

January 21, 2022 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 2 First Empress 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Memory Magic 4.50 1.8 3-1
6 7 Love to Learn 4.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 Girl Thirsty 10.00 3 6-1
2 1 Harlons Commision 3.50 5 9-1
7 8 Orb’s Soul 10.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Gee Gee 6.00 6.8 13-1
1A 6 Tesuque 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 All Our Time 6.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Galaxy Builder 4.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Full Power 8.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 My Pal Mattie 1.80 4.1 8-1
6 6 Toni’s Star 5.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Luke’s Cajun Star 3.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Graham ‘s Cruiser 20.00 1 2-1
4 4 Big Ace 2.50 3.5 7-1
5 5 Majestic Artie 8.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 King of Contraband 20.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Wicked Rose 4.50 6.5 12-1
7 7 Hard Kings 15.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 R T’s d’Oro 20.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Dude Drop Kid 6.00 8.5 16-1
2 2 Struttin Apriority 6.00 8.6 16-1
11 11 Boston Buster 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Heartthrob Halo 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Smart Analysis 3.50 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 K R Target 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 Cheerfor Mshawish 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Lord Eminence 4.50 1.7 3-1
4 4 Petey 10.00 4 8-1
6 6 Time Twister 5.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Zoey’s Hippie 2.00 7 13-1
2 2 Deal With Him 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 World Party 4.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 I Got Wings 10.00 2 4-1
5 5 Us Second Cute Pie 6.00 2.4 4-1
6 6 Palm Court 3.50 2.4 5-1
7 7 Priddis 2.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Glory to Me 5.00 4 8-1
4 4 Guapa Chica 10.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Bigjim’s Silvergal 20.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Mave Runner 12.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Sure Baby 3.50 3.3 6-1
3 3 Federal Court 8.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Happygobucky 8.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 My Kiki 2.50 5 9-1
5 5 Camp Halo 15.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 C C Crown’s Choice 5.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Mollys Flyin High 4.50 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Teasin’ Tesla 6.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Miss Tonalist 8.00 2 4-1
6 6 Smokey Ann 5.00 2 4-1
8 8 Barleygirl 3.50 2 4-1
7 7 Gimme Candy 1.80 5 9-1
9 9 American Reality 15.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Violet Shadows 12.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Angel and Me 12.00 8.9 17-1
3 3 Opportunity Knocks 15.00 8.9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Backshot 2.50 3.2 6-1
3 3 Dust Em 12.00 4 8-1
5 5 Jazz It Up 5.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Grey Rogue 8.00 6 11-1
4 4 Warriors Gem 8.00 6 11-1
8 8 Spankhurst 12.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 Drewzano 3.50 6.9 13-1
2 2 Hostile Afleet 10.00 7 13-1
6 6 Lover Boy 15.00 7.7 15-1
11 11 Dusty Hill 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Limbo’s Promise 12.00 10.1 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 My Avani 15.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Baby Lockout 10.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Half a Bell 20.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Slewpy’s Halo 15.00 6.4 12-1
10 10 Custom Made 4.50 6.8 13-1
3 3 That Is Awesome 6.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Simple Sunday 3.00 9.9 19-1
11 11 Debs Girl 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 She Caused It 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Miss Svengail 6.00 11.7 22-1
4 4 Brenda’s Doll 15.00 11.8 22-1
5 5 Belinda 3.50 12 23-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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