January 21, 2022 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 2 | First Empress | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
4 | 4 | Memory Magic | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
6 | 7 | Love to Learn | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
5 | 5 | Girl Thirsty | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
2 | 1 | Harlons Commision | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
7 | 8 | Orb’s Soul | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
3 | 3 | Gee Gee | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
1A | 6 | Tesuque | 2.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | All Our Time | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
4 | 4 | Galaxy Builder | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
1 | 1 | Full Power | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
5 | 5 | My Pal Mattie | 1.80 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
6 | 6 | Toni’s Star | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
2 | 2 | Luke’s Cajun Star | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Graham ‘s Cruiser | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
4 | 4 | Big Ace | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
5 | 5 | Majestic Artie | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
8 | 8 | King of Contraband | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
6 | 6 | Wicked Rose | 4.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
7 | 7 | Hard Kings | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
9 | 9 | R T’s d’Oro | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
10 | 10 | Dude Drop Kid | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
2 | 2 | Struttin Apriority | 6.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
11 | 11 | Boston Buster | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
12 | 12 | Heartthrob Halo | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
1 | 1 | Smart Analysis | 3.50 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | K R Target | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
5 | 5 | Cheerfor Mshawish | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
1 | 1 | Lord Eminence | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
4 | 4 | Petey | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
6 | 6 | Time Twister | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
3 | 3 | Zoey’s Hippie | 2.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
2 | 2 | Deal With Him | 6.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | World Party | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
3 | 3 | I Got Wings | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
5 | 5 | Us Second Cute Pie | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
6 | 6 | Palm Court | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
7 | 7 | Priddis | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
1 | 1 | Glory to Me | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
4 | 4 | Guapa Chica | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | 9 | Bigjim’s Silvergal | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
1 | 1 | Mave Runner | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
8 | 8 | Sure Baby | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
3 | 3 | Federal Court | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
4 | 4 | Happygobucky | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
2 | 2 | My Kiki | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
5 | 5 | Camp Halo | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
6 | 6 | C C Crown’s Choice | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
7 | 7 | Mollys Flyin High | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Teasin’ Tesla | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
2 | 2 | Miss Tonalist | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
6 | 6 | Smokey Ann | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
8 | 8 | Barleygirl | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
7 | 7 | Gimme Candy | 1.80 | 5 | 9-1 |
9 | 9 | American Reality | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
1 | 1 | Violet Shadows | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
5 | 5 | Angel and Me | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
3 | 3 | Opportunity Knocks | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | 9 | Backshot | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
3 | 3 | Dust Em | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
5 | 5 | Jazz It Up | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
1 | 1 | Grey Rogue | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
4 | 4 | Warriors Gem | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
8 | 8 | Spankhurst | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
10 | 10 | Drewzano | 3.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
2 | 2 | Hostile Afleet | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
6 | 6 | Lover Boy | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
11 | 11 | Dusty Hill | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
7 | 7 | Limbo’s Promise | 12.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | My Avani | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
6 | 6 | Baby Lockout | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
8 | 8 | Half a Bell | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
9 | 9 | Slewpy’s Halo | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
10 | 10 | Custom Made | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
3 | 3 | That Is Awesome | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
7 | 7 | Simple Sunday | 3.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
11 | 11 | Debs Girl | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
12 | 12 | She Caused It | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
1 | 1 | Miss Svengail | 6.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
4 | 4 | Brenda’s Doll | 15.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
5 | 5 | Belinda | 3.50 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.