January 22, 2022 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cindy’s Choice | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kisses for Emily | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Laochi | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Darn That Song | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Easy Play | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hudson Canyon | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bank On Anna | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Keen Dancer | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Air Show | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bourbon Bay | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fingal | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bingo John | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My First Grammy | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Devious Mo | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Opt | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Fair Haired Boy | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | F F Rocket | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Handy | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Charger | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Colormepazzi | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mo Mischief | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Royal Realm | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rudy Rod | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Clash A. J. | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Juggler | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mister Larry | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Central Pride | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hot Rod Rumble | 1.80 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Moped Dennis | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Saratoga Sky | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | He’sgottashortfuse | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mission Trail | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Dazzling Speed | 30.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 11 | Tootsie’s Song | 30.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Betty’s Smile | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Going Going Gone | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Queentigua | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cookie Cove | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Appreciate | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pazzion | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Grape Therapy | 1.40 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
| 11 | 12 | Stormi Cat Lady | 12.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 1A | 8 | Carly Hustle | 1.40 | 12.4 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | South Sea | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ragtime Blues | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Copa | 30.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Speeding Kid | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lohengrin Two | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Next Flight | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mi Tres Por Ciento (CHI) | 5.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Moonachie | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cool Quartet | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gran Casique | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Summer Bourbon | 8.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Jazil S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Why Why Paul Why | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Forewarned | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | First Constitution (CHI) | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Twelve Volt Man | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Core Conviction | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Splicethemainbrace | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Empty Tomb | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Franklin Square S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Thinking It Over | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sandy’s Garden | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Thin Legs | 30.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Shesawildjoker | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Flip My Id | 15.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Meraviglioso | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Leeloo | 3.50 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Moam | 4.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sterling Silver | 5.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Captainsdaughter | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | War Novel | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bohemian Ruby | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shinjuku | 2.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Oliver’s Fortune | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sir William | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Reunion Tour | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Napoleon Complex | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Addicted to You | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bell Boy | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Forestwood Lane | 4.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.