Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, January 22, 2022

January 22, 2022 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Cindy’s Choice 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 Kisses for Emily 8.00 1 2-1
6 6 Laochi 2.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Darn That Song 6.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Easy Play 10.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Hudson Canyon 5.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Bank On Anna 3.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Keen Dancer 50.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Air Show 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Bourbon Bay 3.50 1.3 2-1
4 4 Fingal 4.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Bingo John 12.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 My First Grammy 5.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Devious Mo 12.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Opt 4.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Fair Haired Boy 5.00 1 2-1
8 8 F F Rocket 6.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Handy 4.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Charger 10.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Colormepazzi 8.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Mo Mischief 15.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Royal Realm 2.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Rudy Rod 5.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Clash A. J. 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Juggler 4.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Mister Larry 8.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Central Pride 5.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Hot Rod Rumble 1.80 5.6 11-1
6 6 Moped Dennis 6.00 6.1 11-1
4 4 Saratoga Sky 12.00 7.1 13-1
8 8 He’sgottashortfuse 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Mission Trail 10.00 1 2-1
8 9 Dazzling Speed 30.00 1.8 3-1
10 11 Tootsie’s Song 30.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Betty’s Smile 20.00 3.4 6-1
9 10 Going Going Gone 10.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Queentigua 5.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Cookie Cove 6.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Appreciate 8.00 7.9 15-1
6 6 Pazzion 15.00 9.1 17-1
1 1 Grape Therapy 1.40 11.6 22-1
11 12 Stormi Cat Lady 12.00 12 23-1
1A 8 Carly Hustle 1.40 12.4 23-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 South Sea 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Ragtime Blues 15.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Copa 30.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Speeding Kid 8.00 4.3 8-1
11 11 Lohengrin Two 15.00 5.2 10-1
10 10 Next Flight 20.00 7.2 14-1
9 9 Mi Tres Por Ciento (CHI) 5.00 7.8 15-1
7 7 Moonachie 8.00 8.3 16-1
4 4 Cool Quartet 15.00 9.1 17-1
3 3 Gran Casique 3.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Summer Bourbon 8.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Jazil S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Why Why Paul Why 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 Forewarned 4.50 4.9 9-1
2 2 First Constitution (CHI) 2.50 5.3 10-1
6 6 Twelve Volt Man 10.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Core Conviction 3.50 7 13-1
3 3 Splicethemainbrace 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Empty Tomb 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Franklin Square S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Thinking It Over 4.50 1 2-1
1 1 Sandy’s Garden 8.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Thin Legs 30.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Shesawildjoker 6.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Flip My Id 15.00 5.6 10-1
8 8 Meraviglioso 20.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Leeloo 3.50 8.1 15-1
7 7 Moam 4.00 9.7 18-1
2 2 Sterling Silver 5.00 10 19-1
10 10 Captainsdaughter 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 War Novel 10.00 1 2-1
9 9 Bohemian Ruby 3.50 4.7 9-1
3 3 Shinjuku 2.00 5 9-1
8 8 Oliver’s Fortune 6.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Sir William 15.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Reunion Tour 12.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Napoleon Complex 30.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Addicted to You 15.00 8.5 16-1
6 6 Bell Boy 15.00 8.7 16-1
10 10 Forestwood Lane 4.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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