Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, January 22, 2022

January 22, 2022 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Your Memory 8.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 It’s Time Baby 6.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Light as a Whisper 2.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Zeatrical 4.50 6.2 12-1
1 1 Marilyn’s Magic 3.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Old Time Girl 15.00 7.8 15-1
4 4 Tap Your Front 15.00 8 15-1
5 5 Valerie Louise 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Honoring Major 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 Greeley’s Dealer 6.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Post Close 4.50 1.5 3-1
5 5 Late Nite Mischief 8.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 High Cruise 2.50 3.8 7-1
4 4 Bajan Cash 5.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Friendly Aces 12.00 1 2-1
6 6 Lutie Mo 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Eagleoverthemoon 5.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Cece Wave 15.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Czar’s Ballerina 10.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Chickietown Star 15.00 5 9-1
4 4 Leudeal 10.00 6.6 12-1
9 9 Run Natalie Run 4.50 7.7 15-1
1 1 Courtly Doc 2.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Valid Break 6.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Crypto Brave 8.00 3 6-1
6 6 Sandra’s Juel 10.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Vallejo 1.80 5.1 10-1
5 5 Brave City Girl 4.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Miss Darlene 10.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Twn Ms Midship 3.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Heza Sexy Zong 8.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Indy Fireball 12.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Oxbow Wind 2.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Muletrain 10.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 La’ Hopper 4.50 5 9-1
5 5 Mischevious Robert 15.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Moro Pharoah 3.00 7.9 15-1
6 6 Shady Grady 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 G Don’t Know 5.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Lode of Blarney 3.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Rockin Rog 12.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Desiard 8.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Smiling Song 4.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Marvelous Red 10.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 Pay Dirt 15.00 8 15-1
2 2 I’m Always Late 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Relax Town 4.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Rare Strain 2.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Ready Redding 12.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Coco’s Man 3.50 3.4 6-1
1 1 Callthewolfe 15.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Diside 10.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Dapper Dan Man 6.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Mean Cruiser 8.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Forevamo 2.50 3.2 6-1
4 3 He Takes Charge 6.00 3.6 7-1
1A 9 Calculate 8.00 4.8 9-1
2 1 Moment 10.00 5 9-1
5 4 Temprano 15.00 5.5 10-1
9 10 Hatties Jewel 3.50 6.3 12-1
3 2 Carpe Victoriam 12.00 7.5 14-1
6 5 Gentrified 8.00 8.1 15-1
8 7 Hardcore Folklore 5.00 8.4 16-1
1 8 Guitarzan 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Sing Loud 3.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Charli Michael 4.50 5.5 10-1
4 4 Elisher 5.00 5.8 11-1
10 10 Bayou Beaux 10.00 6.6 13-1
1 1 My Fortunate Son 6.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Shady Monkey 15.00 9.5 18-1
3 3 Amazing American 12.00 9.6 18-1
5 5 Flying Bankroll 8.00 9.7 18-1
7 7 On Tilt 8.00 10 19-1
2 2 Mr Leo 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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