January 22, 2022 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Classical Magnolia | 20.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mardi Gras Gormley | 30.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Honeysuckledelight | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Drewsilla | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Candy’s Pride | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Conservatve Values | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Graceleadsushome | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mylies Star | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pineapple Alley | 3.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Boston Millie | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | House of Zong | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Fully Connected | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Maasai Warrior | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Halfmoon | 8.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Downtown Connector | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bon Bueno | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gunfighter | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | One More Baby | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Art Heist | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | St Andrews | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Achilles Heel | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kevin’s Folly | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pioneer of Medina | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Indefensible | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Underhill’s Tab | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stellar Tap | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 8 | Wing Commander | 12.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 11 | Koufax | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nathan Detroit | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 13 | Call Me Plucky | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Evie’s Prince | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Arabian Prince | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | American Diamond | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 5 | Sharpendup | 4.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Takafumi (BRZ) | 3.50 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Win Worthy | 6.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 12 | Reigning Spirit | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 14 | Crump | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 10 | New Year Surprise | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 2B | 7 | Picking Roses | 4.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Keen Heir | 12.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ice Blast | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cryptic Code | 15.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fenwick | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Almanzo | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Minnesota Ready | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pioneering Spirit | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Peaceful Waters | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Luckman | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Co Conspirator | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Hogslayers R I P | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Seeking Splendor | 30.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz of Thee | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 14 | 14 | More Than Work | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mazuma | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shoot Themessenger | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Baj | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Warrior Johny | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Afternoon Anejo | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Words of Wisdom | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Napa Valley | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Mr. Cunningham | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Faith Runner | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Mercy Warren | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Rather Be Lucky | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Lady Arsinoe | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1A | 12 | Ari Oakley | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Classy Miss | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Chrome Racer | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Super Fire | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Elle of the Ball | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hazy Command | 3.50 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 11 | Bombdiggity | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Non Violence | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Black Cheetah | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Duncan F. Kenner S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Classy John | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sir Alfred James | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Frosted Grace | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Manny Wah | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Strike Me Down | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Just Might | 1.60 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mr. Hustle | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cowan | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Vinco | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vintage Vinyl | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ferociously | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Planters Punch | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | I’m Your Captain | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Blue Bonzai | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Smarty John | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Boss’ Dialin In | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gunoe | 3.50 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Strong Quality | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Ferocity | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Always Hopeful | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Zozos | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Stayed in for Half | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Marie G. Krantz Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Janelle Monae (BRZ) | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Princess Theorem | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Out of Sorts | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Pass the Plate | 6.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Adelaide Miss | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Abscond | 3.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lovely Ride | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Catch a Bid | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Touch of Class | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Summer in Saratoga | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Assertive Style | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Dawn’s Dancer | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Silverbulletday S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bernabreezy | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | La Crete | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Candy Raid | 15.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fannie and Freddie | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Chamita | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet as Pie | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Stakes) – Colonel E. R. Bradley S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Own Agenda | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Forty Under | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Two Emmys | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Monarchs Glen (GB) | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Cavalry Charge | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Bodecream | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Lucky Curlin | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Dyn O Mite | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Halo Again | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Excess Magic | 8.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Logical Myth | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Major Fed | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 13 (Stakes) – Louisiana S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sprawl | 10.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pirate’s Punch | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Spa City | 20.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Bourbon | 1.20 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Warrant | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mandaloun | 1.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chess Chief | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 14 (Stakes) – Lecomte S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Presidential | 20.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trafalgar | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Epicenter | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blue Kentucky | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Call Me Midnight | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Surfer Dude | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cyberknife | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pappacap | 1.60 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Unified Report | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.