Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, January 22, 2022

January 22, 2022 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Classical Magnolia 20.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Mardi Gras Gormley 30.00 1.9 4-1
11 11 Honeysuckledelight 8.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Drewsilla 6.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Candy’s Pride 3.00 2.9 5-1
10 10 Conservatve Values 8.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Graceleadsushome 8.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Mylies Star 8.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Pineapple Alley 3.50 7.4 14-1
3 3 Boston Millie 8.00 7.7 15-1
2 2 House of Zong 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Fully Connected 8.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Maasai Warrior 3.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Halfmoon 8.00 1.3 3-1
3 3 Downtown Connector 5.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Bon Bueno 10.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Gunfighter 5.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 One More Baby 6.00 4 8-1
4 4 Art Heist 3.50 4.1 8-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 St Andrews 5.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Achilles Heel 5.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Kevin’s Folly 4.50 3.5 7-1
3 3 Pioneer of Medina 4.50 4.1 8-1
1 1 Indefensible 30.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Underhill’s Tab 2.50 4.9 9-1
4 4 Stellar Tap 3.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 8 Wing Commander 12.00 1.3 3-1
9 11 Koufax 15.00 2 4-1
6 6 Nathan Detroit 12.00 5.6 11-1
11 13 Call Me Plucky 12.00 5.7 11-1
1A 9 Evie’s Prince 6.00 6.3 12-1
5 4 Arabian Prince 8.00 7 13-1
3 2 American Diamond 6.00 7.3 14-1
2 5 Sharpendup 4.00 7.4 14-1
4 3 Takafumi (BRZ) 3.50 8.2 15-1
1 1 Win Worthy 6.00 8.6 16-1
10 12 Reigning Spirit 5.00 SCRATCH
12 14 Crump 1.80 SCRATCH
8 10 New Year Surprise 20.00 10.1 19-1
2B 7 Picking Roses 4.00 10.1 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Keen Heir 12.00 1.4 3-1
8 8 Ice Blast 8.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Cryptic Code 15.00 1.5 3-1
9 9 Fenwick 4.50 1.6 3-1
5 5 Almanzo 3.50 2.2 4-1
7 7 Minnesota Ready 12.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Pioneering Spirit 6.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Peaceful Waters 2.50 4.8 9-1
1 1 Luckman 6.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Co Conspirator 8.00 3 6-1
13 13 Hogslayers R I P 8.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Seeking Splendor 30.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Tiz of Thee 8.00 3.6 7-1
14 14 More Than Work 4.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Mazuma 6.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Shoot Themessenger 20.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Baj 5.00 4.5 9-1
12 12 Warrior Johny 8.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Afternoon Anejo 8.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Words of Wisdom 8.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Napa Valley 30.00 5.7 11-1
11 11 Mr. Cunningham 15.00 6.8 13-1
10 10 Faith Runner 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Mercy Warren 10.00 2.3 4-1
2 1 Rather Be Lucky 8.00 2.4 4-1
10 9 Lady Arsinoe 8.00 2.4 4-1
1A 12 Ari Oakley 6.00 2.5 5-1
4 3 Classy Miss 6.00 2.7 5-1
3 2 Chrome Racer 8.00 2.9 6-1
8 7 Super Fire 20.00 3.7 7-1
11 10 Elle of the Ball 8.00 5.5 10-1
6 5 Hazy Command 3.50 8 15-1
1 11 Bombdiggity 6.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Non Violence 4.50 SCRATCH
7 6 Black Cheetah 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Duncan F. Kenner S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Classy John 15.00 2 4-1
1 1 Sir Alfred James 5.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Frosted Grace 6.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Manny Wah 3.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Strike Me Down 12.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Just Might 1.60 4 7-1
8 8 Mr. Hustle 10.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Cowan 8.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Vinco 12.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Vintage Vinyl 10.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Ferociously 5.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Planters Punch 5.00 2.8 5-1
11 11 I’m Your Captain 20.00 3.2 6-1
12 12 Blue Bonzai 20.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Smarty John 10.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Boss’ Dialin In 6.00 8.4 16-1
9 9 Gunoe 3.50 9.3 17-1
1 1 Strong Quality 5.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Ferocity 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Always Hopeful 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Zozos 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Stayed in for Half 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Marie G. Krantz Memorial S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Janelle Monae (BRZ) 8.00 1.8 3-1
11 11 Princess Theorem 12.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Out of Sorts 12.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 Pass the Plate 6.00 6.6 13-1
6 6 Adelaide Miss 15.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Abscond 3.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Lovely Ride 12.00 8.7 16-1
2 2 Catch a Bid 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Touch of Class 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Summer in Saratoga 3.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Assertive Style 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Dawn’s Dancer 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Silverbulletday S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Bernabreezy 4.50 1.2 2-1
5 5 La Crete 2.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Candy Raid 15.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Fannie and Freddie 2.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Miss Chamita 15.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Sweet as Pie 2.50 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Stakes) – Colonel E. R. Bradley S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Own Agenda 10.00 2.7 5-1
12 10 Forty Under 12.00 3.3 6-1
6 4 Two Emmys 3.00 4 7-1
8 6 Monarchs Glen (GB) 8.00 4 7-1
3 2 Cavalry Charge 8.00 4.1 8-1
9 7 Bodecream 8.00 5.8 11-1
10 8 Lucky Curlin 12.00 6.7 13-1
11 9 Dyn O Mite 12.00 6.8 13-1
2 1 Halo Again 6.00 7.9 15-1
7 5 Excess Magic 8.00 8.7 16-1
1 1 Logical Myth 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Major Fed 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 13 (Stakes) – Louisiana S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Sprawl 10.00 1.1 2-1
5 5 Pirate’s Punch 20.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Spa City 20.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 Midnight Bourbon 1.20 3.9 7-1
6 6 Warrant 12.00 4 8-1
2 2 Mandaloun 1.00 5 10-1
1 1 Chess Chief 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 14 (Stakes) – Lecomte S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Presidential 20.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Trafalgar 5.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Epicenter 1.80 1.6 3-1
7 7 Blue Kentucky 20.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Call Me Midnight 20.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Surfer Dude 15.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Cyberknife 6.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Pappacap 1.60 6.6 12-1
2 2 Unified Report 15.00 8.2 16-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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