Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, January 23, 2022

January 23, 2022 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Frosted Bourbon 2.00 2 4-1
4 4 Arduously 8.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Hey Mama 4.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Madame Rose 3.50 3.1 6-1
5 5 U Should B Dancing 2.50 3.9 7-1
6 6 Bank Statement 8.00 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Zoomer 1.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Someday Jones 2.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 Striking Speed 20.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Little Menace 1.60 3.5 7-1
2 2 Hieroglyphics 20.00 3.9 7-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Clout Chaser 12.00 1 2-1
6 6 Flower Moon 4.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 To a T 1.80 2.2 4-1
1 1 Fancy Feline 10.00 3 6-1
4 4 Cadeau de Paix 2.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 R Working Girl 3.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Oxana 5.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Its Cold in Dehere 8.00 2 4-1
3 3 Glass Ceiling 1.20 2.2 4-1
4 4 Villanelle 10.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Aunt Kat 1.60 4 8-1
5 5 Letmetakethiscall 15.00 4.5 8-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Gracie O’Malley 4.50 1.9 4-1
6 6 Closing Deals 4.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Majestic Spirit 10.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Bistrita 2.50 3.5 7-1
5 5 Linarite 4.50 3.5 7-1
1 1 Kokutai 8.00 4 8-1
4 4 Glittering Prize 3.50 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bee Bit 3.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Charge Account 2.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 Customerexperience 1.80 2.3 4-1
2 2 Blue Paynt 12.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Equal Measure 12.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Annika Gold 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Makingcents 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Captivating Cara 12.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 That Is Key 10.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Mia Bea Star 10.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Ancient Brown 20.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Enter Sandwoman 6.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Cazilda Fortytales 2.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Snicket 2.50 4.9 9-1
8 8 Bella Principessa 4.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Busanda S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Magic Circle 1.20 2.8 5-1
3 3 Morning Matcha 3.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Waters of Merom 6.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Rosebug 2.50 3.6 7-1
5 5 Reigning Chick 15.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Gamestonks 8.00 3.9 7-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Half Day Pam 6.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Mazal Eighteen 2.50 3.4 6-1
5 5 Violentiam 6.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Tellaperfecttale 12.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 Seahorse d’Oro 8.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Red Pepper Grill 4.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Write This Down 5.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Handle the Truth 15.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 April Antics 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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