January 23, 2022 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Frosted Bourbon | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Arduously | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hey Mama | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Madame Rose | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | U Should B Dancing | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bank Statement | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Zoomer | 1.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Someday Jones | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Striking Speed | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Little Menace | 1.60 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hieroglyphics | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Clout Chaser | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flower Moon | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | To a T | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fancy Feline | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cadeau de Paix | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | R Working Girl | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Oxana | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Its Cold in Dehere | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Glass Ceiling | 1.20 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Villanelle | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Aunt Kat | 1.60 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Letmetakethiscall | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Gracie O’Malley | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Closing Deals | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Majestic Spirit | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bistrita | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Linarite | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kokutai | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Glittering Prize | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bee Bit | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Charge Account | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Customerexperience | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blue Paynt | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Equal Measure | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Annika Gold | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Makingcents | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Captivating Cara | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | That Is Key | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mia Bea Star | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ancient Brown | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Enter Sandwoman | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cazilda Fortytales | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Snicket | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bella Principessa | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Busanda S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Magic Circle | 1.20 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Morning Matcha | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Waters of Merom | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rosebug | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Reigning Chick | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gamestonks | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Half Day Pam | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mazal Eighteen | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Violentiam | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tellaperfecttale | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Seahorse d’Oro | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Red Pepper Grill | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Write This Down | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Handle the Truth | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | April Antics | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.