Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, January 23, 2022

January 23, 2022 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Creole Baby 6.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 I Dont Know Either 4.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Langfuhr’s Angel 3.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Safe Keeping 12.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Apriority Lady 5.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 St Maria 12.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Verrazano Island 4.50 5.4 10-1
7 7 Aphrodites Revenge 4.00 6.6 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Henning 5.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 War Tribute 8.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Louisiana Moon 5.00 2 4-1
8 8 Im a Cowboy Too 3.50 3.3 6-1
5 5 Vision of Angels 10.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Mr. Four Sevens 8.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Cabo’s Rumor 6.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Like Mike 6.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Guilty Lover 8.00 8.4 16-1
10 10 Guitar Slim 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Coach Kenny 4.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Tripper John 4.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Cypriano 2.50 2.9 5-1
3 3 Gypsy’s Soulmate 4.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Ciroc O Clock 10.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Tool Box 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Cohere 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Go Big Green 4.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Forever Dreaming 12.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Girl’s On Fire 6.00 4 8-1
3 3 Scarlett Lace 8.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Drawn to Race (GER) 1.20 6.2 12-1
6 6 Quinn Murphy 5.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 I’m Fine 6.00 8.4 16-1
8 8 Saintsation 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Big If True 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Prime Factor 2.50 1.7 3-1
4 4 Koolhaus 2.00 2 4-1
5 5 On Your Mark 3.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Pledgeofallegiance 6.00 3 6-1
2 2 Schmoozin 6.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Midnight Shift 10.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Say I Won’t 6.00 1.3 2-1
8 8 One More Laugh 5.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 I Am Up 6.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Fordland 8.00 3.1 6-1
10 10 Vinegar Veggies 8.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Omkara 8.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Sin City Gal 15.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Triple P 12.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Summer Tsunami 6.00 9.5 18-1
11 11 Bombdiggity 4.00 SCRATCH
9 9 My Friend Amy 3.50 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Ratification 5.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 Speight’spercomete 3.50 1.3 2-1
2 2 Supercool 4.50 1.3 2-1
5 5 Zap Motion 4.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 American Smooth 6.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Ardanwood 5.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Shanghai Trick 6.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Savvy Shipman 3.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Mila’s Gold 8.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Air Guitar Star 10.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Spellbinding 3.50 3.6 7-1
3 3 Duepeg 20.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Crimson Feline 8.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Top Ten Duchess 20.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Lil Ashley B. 12.00 7.9 15-1
11 10 G’s Deadline 5.00 9.3 18-1
10 10 Theboyzgalaxy 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Special Connection 3.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Distractor Factor 4.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Balook 10.00 11.6 22-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Zozos 4.50 1.5 3-1
1 1 Brigadier General 3.50 2 4-1
2 2 Ferocity 8.00 2 4-1
4 4 Brion 6.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Major Contender 4.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 Stayed in for Half 10.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Strong Quality 4.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Marital Bliss 6.00 5.7 11-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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