January 23, 2022 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Creole Baby | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I Dont Know Either | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Langfuhr’s Angel | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Safe Keeping | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Apriority Lady | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | St Maria | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Verrazano Island | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Aphrodites Revenge | 4.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Henning | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | War Tribute | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Louisiana Moon | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Im a Cowboy Too | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vision of Angels | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Four Sevens | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cabo’s Rumor | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Like Mike | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Guilty Lover | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Guitar Slim | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Coach Kenny | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tripper John | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cypriano | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gypsy’s Soulmate | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ciroc O Clock | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tool Box | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Cohere | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Go Big Green | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Forever Dreaming | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Girl’s On Fire | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Scarlett Lace | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Drawn to Race (GER) | 1.20 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Quinn Murphy | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | I’m Fine | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Saintsation | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Big If True | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Prime Factor | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Koolhaus | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | On Your Mark | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pledgeofallegiance | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Schmoozin | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Shift | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Say I Won’t | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | One More Laugh | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I Am Up | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fordland | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Vinegar Veggies | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Omkara | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sin City Gal | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Triple P | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Summer Tsunami | 6.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bombdiggity | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | My Friend Amy | 3.50 | 10 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ratification | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Speight’spercomete | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Supercool | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zap Motion | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | American Smooth | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ardanwood | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shanghai Trick | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Savvy Shipman | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mila’s Gold | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Air Guitar Star | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spellbinding | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Duepeg | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Crimson Feline | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Top Ten Duchess | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lil Ashley B. | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | G’s Deadline | 5.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Theboyzgalaxy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Special Connection | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Distractor Factor | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Balook | 10.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Zozos | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Brigadier General | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ferocity | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brion | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Major Contender | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stayed in for Half | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Strong Quality | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Marital Bliss | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.