Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, January 27, 2022

January 27, 2022 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Boneyardholler 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 R Boy Cheekum 12.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Jokemeister 4.00 7 13-1
7 7 Analysis 4.50 7.2 14-1
4 4 Any Minute 2.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Aranjuez 3.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Creative Magic 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Hoboken Jack 8.00 1 2-1
4 4 Bustin Pietre 3.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Always Charming 10.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Silipo 12.00 4 8-1
3 3 Runninsonofagun 1.80 5.1 10-1
1 1 Printrack 1.60 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Wait a Minute 6.00 1 2-1
7 6 Jen’s Battle 10.00 1.6 3-1
5 4 Saratoga Beauty 1.40 3.3 6-1
2 2 Big Al’s Gal 1.60 5.3 10-1
4 3 Gringotts 10.00 7 13-1
6 5 Peaches and Spice 30.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Keepmyeyeontheboys 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 No More Mischief 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Royally Blue 4.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Queen Cashmere 8.00 2 4-1
1 1 Amazing Dream 6.00 4 8-1
3 3 Luz 12.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Alicia’s Way 12.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Saratoga Kisses 1.40 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Gun Maestro 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 Kobe’s Legacy 4.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Sensibleconclusion 12.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Nobodyridesforfree 12.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 King of Hollywood 3.50 4 8-1
2 2 Good Skate 1.60 6 11-1
8 8 Good Tip 8.00 6.1 11-1
5 5 Irie Spice 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Indoctrinate 15.00 1 2-1
1 1 Coach Bahe 20.00 1.2 2-1
8 8 Jerusalem Gates 2.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Breaking Stones 3.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Bellamy Dolce 30.00 4.6 9-1
10 10 Mucho Sunshine 20.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Actuary (GB) 5.00 7 13-1
2 2 Blame It On Brutus 6.00 9.1 17-1
5 5 Mr. Fidget 8.00 10 19-1
7 7 Esor 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Therisastormbrewin 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 Straight Skinny 5.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Make It in Ny 3.50 2.8 5-1
5 5 Run for Boston 3.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Kodiak Brown 10.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Son of an Ex 5.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Golani Brigade 5.00 1 2-1
10 10 Gandy Dancing 30.00 1 2-1
5 5 Missalpha 4.50 2.6 5-1
8 8 Steam Engine 3.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Sicilia Mike 12.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 P J Advantage 12.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Writer’s Regret 15.00 8.1 15-1
7 7 Manifest Destiny 20.00 9 17-1
4 4 Dream Bigger 6.00 9.2 17-1
11 11 Binkster 20.00 11 21-1
2 2 Dark Money 4.00 11.4 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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