Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, January 27, 2022

January 27, 2022 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 6 Audacious Girl 3.50 2.3 4-1
6 4 Star Prado 3.50 2.7 5-1
4 2 Flashy Sassy 6.00 2.9 5-1
7 5 Missbudlitelime 20.00 3.6 7-1
5 3 Cheyann Glitters 3.00 5.4 10-1
3 1 Emery’s Dream 15.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Song of Paradise 4.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Cajun Music 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 English Treasure 1.80 1.4 3-1
7 5 Summer Mate 6.00 2.7 5-1
3 2 Buongiorno Bee 10.00 4.5 9-1
4 3 La Gioiosa (FR) 3.00 5.2 10-1
5 4 Awesome Treat 6.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Face Card Contessa 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Livy B 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 2 Midnight Trip 6.00 2.4 5-1
5 3 Point of Victory 3.50 3.2 6-1
9 7 Nine Line Bind 8.00 4.6 9-1
6 4 Rockin Sunday 3.00 5.2 10-1
7 5 Commercial Flash 4.00 5.3 10-1
8 6 Blue Ridge Heat 8.00 6.4 12-1
2 1 She’s a Fair Catch 10.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 Bodie On Pointe 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Spectacular Izzy 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 5 Sydster 5.00 2.3 4-1
3 1 Treys Midnite Moon 4.50 3.1 6-1
7 4 Silver Galaxy 8.00 4.3 8-1
9 6 Get Them Justin 4.50 4.4 8-1
6 3 Mageez 8.00 4.9 9-1
5 2 Highland Creek 2.50 7.3 14-1
1 1 Jax Man 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Changi 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Budro Talking 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 8 That Vegas Boy 8.00 2 4-1
9 7 Guilty as Charged 15.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Mr. K W 12.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 My Pal Greeley 12.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Enchanted Moon 4.50 4.3 8-1
8 6 Priority Points 20.00 5.1 10-1
7 5 Fluffpoint 1.60 5.6 11-1
6 4 R and R Star 6.00 8.4 16-1
4 4 Jumbo Highway 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Josan 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Tommy Bee 4.00 1.3 2-1
8 5 Mannix (IRE) 2.50 1.8 3-1
7 4 Monarch Man 6.00 4.3 8-1
3 2 Shamayim 12.00 5.2 10-1
4 3 Jesuit 10.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Practice Squad 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Brit’s Wit 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Grael 4.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Mr Creed 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Populist 10.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Yes He Can 3.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Frolic More 4.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Tapizars Secret 5.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Richiesgotswagger 6.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 The Green Mo’ster 8.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Cove Blue 4.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Mister Banjoman 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Unitedandresolute 8.00 3.3 6-1
7 2 City Mischief 4.00 3.8 7-1
9 4 Surveillance 6.00 4.3 8-1
8 3 Lookin High 20.00 4.5 8-1
13 6 Charge the Line 3.50 6.8 13-1
12 5 Win Ya Win 3.50 9.1 17-1
1 1 Biarritz 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Jo Dee’s Angel 5.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Hug the Munny 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Freedom Factor 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Sun Striker 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Spectrolite 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Complex System 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Starrininmydreams 4.50 1.7 3-1
5 4 Ready to Pounce 3.50 2.3 4-1
7 6 Moliere 8.00 3.1 6-1
3 2 Extraordinary 8.00 3.1 6-1
9 8 Blue Jays 8.00 3.4 6-1
8 7 American Tattoo (ARG) 4.50 3.7 7-1
6 5 Warrior in Chief 6.00 4.3 8-1
4 3 Boyfriend Material 12.00 7 13-1
1 1 Guillaume 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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