January 27, 2022 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | 6 | Audacious Girl | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
6 | 4 | Star Prado | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
4 | 2 | Flashy Sassy | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
7 | 5 | Missbudlitelime | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
5 | 3 | Cheyann Glitters | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
3 | 1 | Emery’s Dream | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
1 | 1 | Song of Paradise | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
2 | 2 | Cajun Music | 10.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | English Treasure | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
7 | 5 | Summer Mate | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
3 | 2 | Buongiorno Bee | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
4 | 3 | La Gioiosa (FR) | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
5 | 4 | Awesome Treat | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
2 | 2 | Face Card Contessa | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
6 | 6 | Livy B | 6.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 2 | Midnight Trip | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
5 | 3 | Point of Victory | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
9 | 7 | Nine Line Bind | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
6 | 4 | Rockin Sunday | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
7 | 5 | Commercial Flash | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
8 | 6 | Blue Ridge Heat | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
2 | 1 | She’s a Fair Catch | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
1 | 1 | Bodie On Pointe | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
3 | 3 | Spectacular Izzy | 12.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | 5 | Sydster | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
3 | 1 | Treys Midnite Moon | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
7 | 4 | Silver Galaxy | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
9 | 6 | Get Them Justin | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
6 | 3 | Mageez | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
5 | 2 | Highland Creek | 2.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
1 | 1 | Jax Man | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
2 | 2 | Changi | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
4 | 4 | Budro Talking | 3.50 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | 8 | That Vegas Boy | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
9 | 7 | Guilty as Charged | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
1 | 1 | Mr. K W | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
3 | 3 | My Pal Greeley | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
2 | 2 | Enchanted Moon | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
8 | 6 | Priority Points | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
7 | 5 | Fluffpoint | 1.60 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
6 | 4 | R and R Star | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
4 | 4 | Jumbo Highway | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
5 | 5 | Josan | 20.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 1 | Tommy Bee | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
8 | 5 | Mannix (IRE) | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
7 | 4 | Monarch Man | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
3 | 2 | Shamayim | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
4 | 3 | Jesuit | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
1 | 1 | Practice Squad | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
5 | 5 | Brit’s Wit | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
6 | 6 | Grael | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
9 | 9 | Mr Creed | 3.50 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | 7 | Populist | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
3 | 3 | Yes He Can | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
5 | 5 | Frolic More | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
2 | 2 | Tapizars Secret | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
1 | 1 | Richiesgotswagger | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
6 | 6 | The Green Mo’ster | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
4 | 4 | Cove Blue | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
7 | 7 | Mister Banjoman | 10.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 1 | Unitedandresolute | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
7 | 2 | City Mischief | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
9 | 4 | Surveillance | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
8 | 3 | Lookin High | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
13 | 6 | Charge the Line | 3.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
12 | 5 | Win Ya Win | 3.50 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
1 | 1 | Biarritz | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
3 | 3 | Jo Dee’s Angel | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
4 | 4 | Hug the Munny | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
5 | 5 | Freedom Factor | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
6 | 6 | Sun Striker | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
10 | 10 | Spectrolite | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
11 | 11 | Complex System | 8.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 1 | Starrininmydreams | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
5 | 4 | Ready to Pounce | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
7 | 6 | Moliere | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
3 | 2 | Extraordinary | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
9 | 8 | Blue Jays | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
8 | 7 | American Tattoo (ARG) | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
6 | 5 | Warrior in Chief | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
4 | 3 | Boyfriend Material | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
1 | 1 | Guillaume | 8.00 | SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.