Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Friday, January 28, 2022

January 28, 2022 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 McQueen’s Bullitt 10.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Exalted Charm 3.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Midaswellrun 8.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Flying With Angels 8.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Rock Sugar 0.60 4 8-1
2 2 Rye Runner 30.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Lucky Brody 15.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Gentle Annie 3.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 My Girl Annie 6.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Effiemeister 6.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Dazzling Speed 20.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Violent Point 1.60 3.6 7-1
7 7 Cover Photo 3.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Awesomenewyear 15.00 4.5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Tweaqued 1.60 2.4 4-1
2 2 Rosemary Potatoes 4.50 2.6 5-1
6 6 Lady Milagro 3.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Frosted Wild Ride 15.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Crazy Serena 6.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Rooski 2.50 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Oh My Belle 2.00 1 2-1
9 9 Boca Kitten 4.00 3 6-1
1 1 Strong Alpha 15.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Arabellas Girl 6.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 London Pearl 20.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Beautiful Banks 5.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Giggling Ghost 20.00 7.8 15-1
5 5 Derby Kisses 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Rock Lobster 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Midmon 8.00 10.1 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Tap N Glo 2.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Sweet Solare 4.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 Exxaltress 3.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Rough Tough Love 5.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Cupids Girl 4.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Charlottesometimes 12.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Mostly Harmless 15.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Fleur Elyse 12.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Fleet Warrior 5.00 4 7-1
4 4 R Boy Bode 30.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Joycee Haz Pizzaz 4.50 5.2 10-1
9 9 Bourbon Mission 6.00 5.4 10-1
12 12 Cause of Action 15.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Ninth Hour 6.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Tale of Mist 12.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Marble Moon 15.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 High Command 20.00 6.9 13-1
11 11 Mi Tres Por Ciento (CHI) 4.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 Healy’s Hope 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Winning Drive 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 American Rule 8.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Dark Storm 4.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Crypto Cash 3.50 4.6 9-1
8 8 Vintage Hollywood 10.00 5 9-1
5 5 Anything Pazible 30.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Troubling Moon 12.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Supreme Aura 5.00 6.7 13-1
10 10 American Lincoln 20.00 7.7 15-1
6 6 Lost in Rome 12.00 9 17-1
9 9 Just Right 8.00 9.7 18-1
11 11 Air Attack 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 True Gold 4.50 2.6 5-1
6 6 Bronx Bomber 4.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Runningwscissors 10.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Scocciatore 3.50 3.5 7-1
4 4 South Africa 4.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Gongheifatchoy 15.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Bustin Shout 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 12 Koosman 8.00 1.9 4-1
6 5 My Last Mission 5.00 3.2 6-1
10 11 Dancing With Rico 6.00 3.7 7-1
3 2 Mango Beach 15.00 4.4 8-1
2 1 Silver Samurai 2.00 5 9-1
1 6 Looking to Heaven 12.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Vibe Setter 30.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Empire Station 10.00 7 13-1
1A 10 Martini Margarita 12.00 7.3 14-1
4 3 My Inspiration 15.00 7.5 14-1
5 4 Lord Brownie 12.00 7.5 14-1
9 9 Wickosity 8.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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