January 28, 2022 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | McQueen’s Bullitt | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Exalted Charm | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Midaswellrun | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flying With Angels | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rock Sugar | 0.60 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rye Runner | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Brody | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Gentle Annie | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Girl Annie | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Effiemeister | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dazzling Speed | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Violent Point | 1.60 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cover Photo | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Awesomenewyear | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tweaqued | 1.60 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rosemary Potatoes | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Milagro | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Frosted Wild Ride | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Crazy Serena | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rooski | 2.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Oh My Belle | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Boca Kitten | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Strong Alpha | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Arabellas Girl | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | London Pearl | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Beautiful Banks | 5.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Giggling Ghost | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Derby Kisses | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Rock Lobster | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Midmon | 8.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Tap N Glo | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Solare | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Exxaltress | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rough Tough Love | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cupids Girl | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Charlottesometimes | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mostly Harmless | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fleur Elyse | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Fleet Warrior | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | R Boy Bode | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Joycee Haz Pizzaz | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bourbon Mission | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Cause of Action | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ninth Hour | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tale of Mist | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Marble Moon | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | High Command | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mi Tres Por Ciento (CHI) | 4.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Healy’s Hope | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Winning Drive | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | American Rule | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dark Storm | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Crypto Cash | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Vintage Hollywood | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Anything Pazible | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Troubling Moon | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Supreme Aura | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | American Lincoln | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lost in Rome | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Just Right | 8.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Air Attack | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | True Gold | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bronx Bomber | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Runningwscissors | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Scocciatore | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | South Africa | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gongheifatchoy | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bustin Shout | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 12 | Koosman | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 5 | My Last Mission | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 11 | Dancing With Rico | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Mango Beach | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Silver Samurai | 2.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 6 | Looking to Heaven | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vibe Setter | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Empire Station | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1A | 10 | Martini Margarita | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 3 | My Inspiration | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Lord Brownie | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Wickosity | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.