January 28, 2022 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Scrappy | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Jig Time Bandit | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Crafty Princess | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lake Runner | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I’m a Custom to It | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Anslie’s Gumdrop | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Two Punch Fist | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Reckless Sergeant | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bad Gal Riri | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mac Legacy | 8.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Summer Is Hot | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Moment to Dream | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cheapskate Diva | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Seriously Sam | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Savannah’s Here | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sky High Susan | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mon Danseur | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Resposado | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ms. Cajun Queen | 6.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Shelli’s Angel | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Connect It | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | River’s Raging | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dover Strait | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Permanentdetention | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Yankee Hail Cat | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Xietelehuas | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Peterkin | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Coach Hudson | 2.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dignified N Krafty | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | El Mic Tiesun | 6.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Flying Fred | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1A | 8 | Unorthodox | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Prairie | 1.80 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tenor | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | War Light | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Windsor Academy | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Kukri | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. J. McKay | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Joanie Gal | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Confusion | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Supertaleofhoudini | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lets Go All Theway | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Stone Arch Bridge | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Caviar Resolution | 3.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Thief of Hearts | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Eclipsed | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bout Time | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Quick Munny | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Plants and Birds | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chopin Drive | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ma Cherie | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Queen Cordelia | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Frosteria | 2.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dynamite Gift | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Parker Eva | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Jimmy Two Times | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | C’Mon Ve | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dixie Street | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Big Bella Brown | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Zelig | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Secret Vista | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Prizeless | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gracida | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Soul Song | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Golden Flash | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ahimaaz | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Apache Tears | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | California Holiday | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Beduin Fighter | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Action Seeker | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fahan | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | K C Rocket | 2.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1A | 3 | Cash Rocket | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Julia’s Chance | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Legsnahalf | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Looking Hot | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Silly Silly | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Cosmic Belle | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sweet Jackieleigh | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Absolutely Mindy | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Lawsuit Lucy | 4.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Caesar’s Calpurnia | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Stella Link | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Kellie Mae | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Charlie’s Peak | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Sadie’s Port | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Double Appeal | 30.00 | 11.4 | 21-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Satisfy U | 4.00 | 11.4 | 21-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.