Sports from the Basement

Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, January 29, 2022

January 29, 2022 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Long Term Thinking 2.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Flat Lucky 8.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Cold as Hell 15.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Bull Hollow 12.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Substantial 5.00 5 10-1
4 4 Ultimate 3.50 5.8 11-1
7 7 Wild Behavior 6.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Sturgill 4.50 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 California Swing 12.00 2.4 5-1
9 9 Don’t Forget 3.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Storm Advisory 5.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Riverboat Gambler 4.00 4 7-1
2 2 Lonely Private 15.00 4.2 8-1
10 10 The Queens Jules 6.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Tappin Fora Dance 12.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Skyscanner 30.00 8 15-1
3 3 Town Champ 10.00 8.4 16-1
12 12 Archiemyboy 20.00 8.7 17-1
11 11 Alex’s Strike 10.00 8.8 17-1
6 6 Verrazano First 10.00 8.9 17-1
13 13 Futile 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Horse Greedy 4.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Wobberjod 3.00 2.1 4-1
9 9 Seau 3.50 2.3 4-1
7 7 Firery Tale 5.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Press Snooze 6.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Replete 12.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Petit Verdot 10.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Gold Endeavor 10.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Past Post 15.00 7.7 14-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Martha Washington S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Como Square 2.50 1.2 2-1
4 4 Optionality 1.80 2 4-1
2 2 Princess Pauline 8.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Cupid’s Music 20.00 4 8-1
1 1 Hypersport 8.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Secret Oath 2.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Gentlemens Jet 15.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Mucho Rocket Cat 20.00 2.9 5-1
12 12 Max’s Heart 5.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Whelen Springs 2.50 5 9-1
3 3 Chaleco 10.00 5 10-1
6 6 Allo Enry 6.00 5.5 10-1
10 10 Point Blank 30.00 5.9 11-1
11 11 Mo Vodka 10.00 8 15-1
8 8 Justdennis 30.00 9.4 18-1
1 1 Twentytwentyredo 30.00 9.8 19-1
2 2 Atta Party 8.00 9.9 19-1
13 13 Kilgore 5.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Where’s Randy 3.00 10.6 20-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Shortlist 10.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 River Echo (GB) 12.00 2.9 5-1
11 11 Hyperfocus 6.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Lord Dragon 3.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Last Martini 30.00 6.1 11-1
6 6 Leader of Men 10.00 7.4 14-1
12 12 Ego 8.00 7.9 15-1
1 1 Bourbon Frontier 5.00 8.2 15-1
2 2 Alex Joon 12.00 8.8 17-1
9 9 Kershaw 4.00 9.2 17-1
10 10 Lastchanceatglory 12.00 9.6 18-1
13 13 Morocco 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Pats Property 30.00 11.9 22-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Insolito 3.00 1.6 3-1
10 10 Slim Man 3.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Favorite Outlaw 2.50 2 4-1
1 1 Royal King 20.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Unstable Prince 12.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Improbable Journey 4.50 5.2 10-1
9 9 Skyline 20.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Driven One 30.00 9 17-1
4 4 Paid in Full 20.00 9.2 17-1
7 7 Island Music 10.00 9.3 18-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Palace Coup 5.00 2.1 4-1
5 4 Martini Blu 10.00 2.2 4-1
8 7 Fan Club 3.50 2.4 5-1
7 6 Indimaaj 3.00 2.5 5-1
6 5 Divine Armor 6.00 2.9 5-1
9 8 Calibrate 4.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Quarterback Dak 12.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Miacomet 10.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Mine Own Star 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Hunt the Front 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Southwest S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Dash Attack 3.50 2.4 5-1
12 12 Vivar 12.00 3.2 6-1
10 10 Newgrange 2.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Don’tcrossthedevil 30.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Osbourne 8.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Barber Road 5.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Kavod 12.00 5 9-1
1 1 Ben Diesel 10.00 6.5 12-1
11 11 Call Me Jamal 30.00 8.1 15-1
9 9 Classic Moment 12.00 9.2 17-1
5 5 Costa Terra 12.00 10.1 19-1
7 7 Ignitis 10.00 10.3 20-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – King Cotton S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Collusion Illusion 3.00 2.4 5-1
6 5 Nashville 2.50 2.8 5-1
5 4 Double Crown 12.00 3 6-1
9 8 Seven Nation Army 8.00 3.2 6-1
8 7 Boldor 8.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Hollis 4.00 3.8 7-1
3 2 Home Base 12.00 4.1 8-1
7 6 Bob’s Edge 5.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Long Range Toddy 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Quick to Blame 2.50 1.5 3-1
6 6 Seven Flat 12.00 2 4-1
3 3 Skate to Heaven 3.50 2.2 4-1
8 8 Mistical Curlin 8.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Goin to the Show 8.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Ten Gauge 5.00 5 9-1
12 12 King Doodle 20.00 6.6 12-1
9 9 Curly Tail 15.00 6.8 13-1
10 10 Miniconjou 12.00 7.9 15-1
5 5 Life On the Nile 12.00 9.4 18-1
11 11 Mumayaz 10.00 10 19-1
13 13 Deputy Connect 5.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Ethereal Road 10.00 11.3 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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