January 29, 2022 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Long Term Thinking | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Flat Lucky | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cold as Hell | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bull Hollow | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Substantial | 5.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ultimate | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wild Behavior | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sturgill | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | California Swing | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Don’t Forget | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Storm Advisory | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Riverboat Gambler | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lonely Private | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | The Queens Jules | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tappin Fora Dance | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Skyscanner | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Town Champ | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Archiemyboy | 20.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Alex’s Strike | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Verrazano First | 10.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Futile | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Horse Greedy | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wobberjod | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Seau | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Firery Tale | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Press Snooze | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Replete | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Petit Verdot | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gold Endeavor | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Past Post | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Martha Washington S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Como Square | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Optionality | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Princess Pauline | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cupid’s Music | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hypersport | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Secret Oath | 2.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gentlemens Jet | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mucho Rocket Cat | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Max’s Heart | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Whelen Springs | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chaleco | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Allo Enry | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Point Blank | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mo Vodka | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Justdennis | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Twentytwentyredo | 30.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Atta Party | 8.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Kilgore | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Where’s Randy | 3.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Shortlist | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | River Echo (GB) | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Hyperfocus | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lord Dragon | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Last Martini | 30.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Leader of Men | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Ego | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bourbon Frontier | 5.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Alex Joon | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kershaw | 4.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lastchanceatglory | 12.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Morocco | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Pats Property | 30.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Insolito | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Slim Man | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Favorite Outlaw | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Royal King | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Unstable Prince | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Improbable Journey | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Skyline | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Driven One | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Paid in Full | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Island Music | 10.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Palace Coup | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Martini Blu | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Fan Club | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Indimaaj | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Divine Armor | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Calibrate | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Quarterback Dak | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miacomet | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mine Own Star | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Hunt the Front | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Southwest S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dash Attack | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Vivar | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Newgrange | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Don’tcrossthedevil | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Osbourne | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Barber Road | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kavod | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ben Diesel | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Call Me Jamal | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Classic Moment | 12.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Costa Terra | 12.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ignitis | 10.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – King Cotton S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Collusion Illusion | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Nashville | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Double Crown | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Seven Nation Army | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Boldor | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hollis | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Home Base | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bob’s Edge | 5.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Long Range Toddy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Quick to Blame | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Seven Flat | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Skate to Heaven | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mistical Curlin | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Goin to the Show | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ten Gauge | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | King Doodle | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Curly Tail | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Miniconjou | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Life On the Nile | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mumayaz | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Deputy Connect | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Ethereal Road | 10.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.