Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, January 30, 2022

January 30, 2022 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 My Little Lulu 20.00 1 2-1
3 3 Inouaintalkintome 1.80 3.2 6-1
1 1 Madame Rose 8.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Reeley Psyched 2.50 4.9 9-1
4 4 Torren’s Tale 15.00 6 11-1
2 2 Phenomenal Woman 1.40 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Lady by Choice 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 Indian Bella 2.50 4.5 9-1
5 5 Nurse Rachett 10.00 5 9-1
4 4 Stefanie On Fleek 2.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Shadolamo 4.50 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Runabout 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Factor This In 6.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Regal Quality 2.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Its All Relevant 3.00 6 11-1
4 4 Threethehardway 12.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Direct Order 4.50 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Tamburro’s Sox 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Out of the Breech 12.00 4 8-1
5 5 Scat Brat 2.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Tough Workout 3.00 6.1 11-1
7 7 Vincent 8.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Unlikely 30.00 7 13-1
1 1 V Pattern 4.50 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 D’ Rapper 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Glory Road 4.50 1.9 4-1
9 9 Free Enterprise 5.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Mount Travers 15.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Fast Break 3.50 5.8 11-1
2 2 Big Mountain 20.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Smile Bryan 6.00 7 13-1
5 5 Banyan Breeze 15.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Daddy Knows 3.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Mia Bea Star 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 A Ring Thing 5.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Beautiful Karen 1.60 2.5 5-1
1 1 Hipnotizada 3.50 2.7 5-1
7 7 Pendolino 30.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Rainbow Gal 4.50 6.3 12-1
3 3 Left Leaning Lucy 4.50 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Chasing Cara 12.00 1 2-1
1 1 Byhubbyhellomoney 4.50 3.8 7-1
2 2 Steal My Heart 20.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Prairie Fire 8.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Wasp 3.50 6.3 12-1
7 7 Grudge 4.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Happy Sophia 20.00 8.8 17-1
4 4 Khali Magic 12.00 10 19-1
9 9 Bustin Bay 5.00 10.2 19-1
10 10 Electric Youth 6.00 10.6 20-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Jimmy Winkfield S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Coastal Mission 12.00 1 2-1
5 5 H P Moon 2.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Beast Or Famine 15.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Morello 4.00 6.6 13-1
4 4 Dance Code 15.00 7 13-1
6 6 Life Is Great 3.50 8 15-1
8 8 Hagler 5.00 8.2 15-1
7 7 Witty 6.00 8.4 16-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Swinton 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Hangar One 20.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Prisoner 2.50 2.1 4-1
5 5 Taco Bean 20.00 2.4 4-1
2 2 Halpert 5.00 2.7 5-1
9 9 El Mayor 6.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Bar Fourteen 4.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Fotis 50.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Magnificent Chrome 6.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.