January 30, 2022 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Into Wishing | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
3 | 3 | Bourbon Sky | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
8 | 8 | Iknowididn’tdothat | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
4 | 4 | Ls’shoe’s Image | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
1 | 1 | Ourquickdrawmcgraw | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
7 | 7 | Callen Feels Good | 3.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
6 | 6 | Back Alley Jammin | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
9 | 9 | Ninejuanjuan Call | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
5 | 5 | Nice Star | 6.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 3 | Champagne Horizon | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
1 | 1 | Total Malice | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
1A | 2 | Varsity Flygirl | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
5 | 6 | Angel of Verdun | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
7 | 8 | Malibu Moira | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
4 | 5 | Rank and File | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
3 | 4 | Glance | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
6 | 7 | Good Mongolia | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
8 | 9 | A Little Flyer | 12.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Landofthepharaohs | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
8 | 8 | Dictator | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
6 | 6 | Skycraft | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
3 | 3 | Mosta Flyin | 30.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
7 | 7 | Convict Pike | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
4 | 4 | Trivista | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
5 | 5 | Redoux | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
9 | 9 | Off Sixes | 2.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
1 | 1 | Cap Rock Miner | 6.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Empty Net | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
1 | 1 | Country Time | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
3 | 3 | Nin to Win | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
10 | 10 | Ms Satch Mo | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
7 | 7 | Ephemeral | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
5 | 5 | Martyr of Charity | 4.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
6 | 6 | Miss Mamba | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
4 | 4 | She’s Our Star | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
8 | 8 | Candy’s Parade | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
9 | 9 | Hohohoho | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
11 | 11 | Coinmaker | 8.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | Galaxy Thirtysix | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
4 | 4 | Suzie’s Dream | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
6 | 6 | Oretta | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
2 | 2 | Plum Good | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
8 | 8 | Viola Star | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
5 | 5 | G’s Squeeze | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
3 | 3 | Sienna Breeze | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
1 | 1 | The Complete Court | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Perrins | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
10 | 11 | Chief Kimosabi | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
9 | 10 | Guitartuition Plzz | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
8 | 8 | Northernreflection | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
3 | 2 | Joeboy | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
4 | 3 | Oneforvivi | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
7 | 7 | Ronalds Gatsby | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
2 | 1 | Bouldering | 4.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
11 | 12 | Port o’ Call | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
5 | 4 | Charlie G | 4.50 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
1 | 5 | Ole Stud Muffin | 12.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
1A | 9 | Hard Kings | 12.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Desoto’s War | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
5 | 5 | American Union | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
9 | 9 | Rockdale | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
6 | 6 | Gemo Rain | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
1 | 1 | Abuelo Nuno | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
7 | 7 | Twirling Roses | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
10 | 10 | Lt. Junior Grade | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
8 | 8 | Citizen West | 3.50 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
2 | 2 | Canihaveitlikethat | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
3 | 3 | Pretty Boy Elm | 20.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 6 | Firewater Jake | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
1 | 3 | New Eagle | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
3 | 2 | Forever Mo | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
4 | 4 | Just Gun It | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
6 | 5 | War Chest | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
8 | 7 | Hay Dakota | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
2 | 1 | Grand Atlantic | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
10 | 8 | Big Agenda | 3.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
1A | 11 | Social Afleet | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
5 | 5 | Mr. Gary D | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
9 | 9 | Barleewon | 8.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 5 | Custom Guitar | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
9 | 8 | Mo Bella | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
8 | 7 | Bode’s Connection | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
3 | 2 | Wheels Like Nala | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
1 | 1 | Whimsical Lady | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
5 | 4 | T R’s First | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
4 | 3 | Stop Shop N Drop | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
11 | 10 | Pat Hand Girl | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
10 | 9 | Charlie’s Peak | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
7 | 6 | Miss Caruso | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
2 | 2 | Kellie Mae | 20.00 | SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.