Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, January 30, 2022

January 30, 2022 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Into Wishing 4.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 Bourbon Sky 5.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Iknowididn’tdothat 6.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Ls’shoe’s Image 6.00 6.1 11-1
1 1 Ourquickdrawmcgraw 10.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Callen Feels Good 3.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Back Alley Jammin 6.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Ninejuanjuan Call 20.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Nice Star 6.00 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 3 Champagne Horizon 6.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Total Malice 6.00 5 9-1
1A 2 Varsity Flygirl 6.00 5 9-1
5 6 Angel of Verdun 3.50 5.1 10-1
7 8 Malibu Moira 2.50 5.4 10-1
4 5 Rank and File 8.00 5.5 10-1
3 4 Glance 3.00 5.7 11-1
6 7 Good Mongolia 8.00 6.8 13-1
8 9 A Little Flyer 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Landofthepharaohs 12.00 1.5 3-1
8 8 Dictator 3.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 Skycraft 12.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Mosta Flyin 30.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Convict Pike 8.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Trivista 3.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Redoux 10.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Off Sixes 2.50 7.9 15-1
1 1 Cap Rock Miner 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Empty Net 4.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Country Time 4.50 4.2 8-1
3 3 Nin to Win 12.00 5 9-1
10 10 Ms Satch Mo 8.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Ephemeral 20.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Martyr of Charity 4.50 7.4 14-1
6 6 Miss Mamba 8.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 She’s Our Star 20.00 9.6 18-1
8 8 Candy’s Parade 12.00 9.7 18-1
9 9 Hohohoho 3.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Coinmaker 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Galaxy Thirtysix 3.50 2.7 5-1
4 4 Suzie’s Dream 6.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Oretta 12.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Plum Good 3.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Viola Star 6.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 G’s Squeeze 2.50 5.1 10-1
3 3 Sienna Breeze 10.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 The Complete Court 15.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Perrins 8.00 2 4-1
10 11 Chief Kimosabi 4.50 3.6 7-1
9 10 Guitartuition Plzz 8.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Northernreflection 8.00 5.7 11-1
3 2 Joeboy 15.00 6 11-1
4 3 Oneforvivi 20.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Ronalds Gatsby 10.00 6.3 12-1
2 1 Bouldering 4.00 7.5 14-1
11 12 Port o’ Call 10.00 7.7 15-1
5 4 Charlie G 4.50 8.4 16-1
1 5 Ole Stud Muffin 12.00 10.3 19-1
1A 9 Hard Kings 12.00 10.5 20-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Desoto’s War 6.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 American Union 10.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Rockdale 5.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Gemo Rain 8.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Abuelo Nuno 6.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Twirling Roses 4.50 5.5 10-1
10 10 Lt. Junior Grade 5.00 6 11-1
8 8 Citizen West 3.50 8.5 16-1
2 2 Canihaveitlikethat 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Pretty Boy Elm 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Firewater Jake 15.00 1.9 4-1
1 3 New Eagle 6.00 2.2 4-1
3 2 Forever Mo 5.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Just Gun It 6.00 5.2 10-1
6 5 War Chest 20.00 5.3 10-1
8 7 Hay Dakota 4.00 5.5 10-1
2 1 Grand Atlantic 20.00 5.9 11-1
10 8 Big Agenda 3.00 7.3 14-1
1A 11 Social Afleet 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Mr. Gary D 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Barleewon 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Custom Guitar 5.00 4.2 8-1
9 8 Mo Bella 12.00 5 9-1
8 7 Bode’s Connection 20.00 5 9-1
3 2 Wheels Like Nala 6.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Whimsical Lady 6.00 6.4 12-1
5 4 T R’s First 12.00 7 13-1
4 3 Stop Shop N Drop 3.00 7 13-1
11 10 Pat Hand Girl 4.50 7 13-1
10 9 Charlie’s Peak 10.00 7.5 14-1
7 6 Miss Caruso 12.00 9.7 18-1
2 2 Kellie Mae 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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