January 30, 2022 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Love in Paradise | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Send D Package | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tempestuous | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Toyi | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shirley’s Sherman | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Volte Face | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Singinthruthestorm | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gogees | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Negligence | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Emicrack (CHI) | 1.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mony | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beinfun | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Military Drill | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | No Commission | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bam Bam Blu | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Egyptian God (IRE) | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Native Thunder | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Main Event | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Celestial City | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | General’s Duty | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sul Pharoah | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chelsea Dagger | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Men On The Hill (IRE) | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hashtag No Wonder | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mannhal | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Desert Dalliance | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Doll Baby | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Relaxation | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Catiche | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Yearwood | 20.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Frozen Solid | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | T. Waltz | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | For Ever Ours | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bella Sofi | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Broadway Peggy | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tidal Waters | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cherokee Chatter | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Queen Calypso | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fillmore East | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Speedy Fire | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Public Service | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ughrouda | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Mesaoria | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Wonka | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Athenais | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Lavish Habits | 30.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Amunet | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Hardspun Woman | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Beside Herself | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mac the Pee H Dee | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Empress At War | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Queen Macha | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Royal Blush | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Cumulonimbus | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Empress Ellie | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Estate | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Simplify (ARG) | 20.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Race Day Speed | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lavi | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Dem a Wonder | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Our Fantasy | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Don’t Get Khozy | 1.80 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Let’s Be Honest | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bandimere | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Celestial Glaze | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ridewiththedevil | 12.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Curbstone | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sosua Summer | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Flash Frost | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Coleridge | 20.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Connected | 30.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Roadtriptonowhere | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Cellular | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Unprecedented | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bailey | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mister Kelly | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Self Taught | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cuy | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Frenchmen Street | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Indy Lyon | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tropicat | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | City Drifter | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Ginsburned | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Eamonn | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Risk Manager | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Skyro | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kobla Mas | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lease | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | My Sea Cottage (IRE) | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Call Curt | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Catch That Party | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Morning Stride | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Basquiat | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Another Duke | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Mid Day Image | 3.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Miracle Silver | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Uhtred | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Benefactor | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Farley | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Captain Thunder | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Buffalo Max | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Drillomatic | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rocket Joe Copper | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Devoted Kitten | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Here Comes Bullet | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Lucas n’ Lori | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jeha | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.