February 3, 2022 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Pathological | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Improper | 2.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Long Term | 0.60 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Union Lights | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cheeky Tico | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Eagle in Love | 10.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Regal Empire | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ginnsu Warrior | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Convertible Freeze | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | R Doc | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dontbelate | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | St. Lukes | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Hot Stepper | 2.50 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lanfrankophile | 8.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Default Protection | 1.60 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blushable | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bravo Regina | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Courageous Girl | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vienna Code | 3.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Honey Money | 3.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Capone | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Actualize | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Check That Chip | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cathedral Beach | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Our Shot | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Let Freedom Spring | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dads Good Runner | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rhumjar | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Macho Boy | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stanhope | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | A Colt Named Susie | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dee Bo | 2.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Eucharist | 3.50 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Brockmoninoff | 4.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Exxtop | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Our American Star | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Alite | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ocean Deep | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Prince of Joy | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Boy Colton | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Total Effort | 2.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Napoleon Complex | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Romantic Man | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | We Ready | 4.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Raising Sand | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Litterbox | 15.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Malibu Star | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Matty’s Marauder | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Far Away Look | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Scorpion Dynasty | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Mister Winston | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Victory Built | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Forgotten Mission | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tale of Mineshaft | 4.50 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | My Cousin Rich | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Brunate | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Ghostmon | 12.00 | 14.6 | 28-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Famished | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Little Menace | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Buy Land and See | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Chestertown | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Answer In | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Jemography | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Repo Rocks | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Sibelius | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Pineapple Man | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Beach Boy Al | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Infeasible | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | State Planning | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Eminency | 1.60 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Devil’s Edge | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | He’s Got It | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Devious Banker | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Timmy Me Boy | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Barrel of Quests | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.