Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, February 3, 2022

February 3, 2022 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Pathological 8.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Improper 2.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Long Term 0.60 5.9 11-1
3 3 Union Lights 20.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Cheeky Tico 30.00 7.5 14-1
7 7 Eagle in Love 10.00 7.7 14-1
1 1 Regal Empire 30.00 8.3 16-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Ginnsu Warrior 6.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Convertible Freeze 3.00 7 13-1
5 5 R Doc 8.00 8.3 16-1
3 3 Dontbelate 20.00 9.2 17-1
2 2 St. Lukes 2.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Hot Stepper 2.50 10.8 20-1
4 4 Lanfrankophile 8.00 11.2 21-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Default Protection 1.60 4.4 8-1
1 1 Blushable 6.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Bravo Regina 20.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Courageous Girl 3.50 5 9-1
4 4 Vienna Code 3.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Honey Money 3.50 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Capone 4.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Actualize 3.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Check That Chip 6.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Cathedral Beach 3.50 5 9-1
7 7 Our Shot 8.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Let Freedom Spring 12.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Dads Good Runner 15.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Rhumjar 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Macho Boy 15.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Stanhope 2.00 4 8-1
3 3 A Colt Named Susie 30.00 6 11-1
2 2 Dee Bo 2.50 7.6 14-1
8 8 Eucharist 3.50 8.1 15-1
6 6 Brockmoninoff 4.50 8.3 16-1
1 1 Exxtop 10.00 8.8 17-1
5 5 Our American Star 15.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Alite 8.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Ocean Deep 20.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Prince of Joy 30.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 My Boy Colton 4.50 5 9-1
8 8 Total Effort 2.50 5.8 11-1
7 7 Napoleon Complex 30.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Romantic Man 3.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 We Ready 4.50 6.6 12-1
1 1 Raising Sand 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Litterbox 15.00 1.6 3-1
4 3 Malibu Star 2.50 4.3 8-1
10 9 Matty’s Marauder 8.00 5.9 11-1
11 10 Far Away Look 15.00 6.5 12-1
1A 5 Scorpion Dynasty 5.00 6.7 13-1
9 8 Mister Winston 12.00 7 13-1
8 7 Victory Built 8.00 7.6 14-1
5 4 Forgotten Mission 20.00 9 17-1
7 6 Tale of Mineshaft 4.50 9.3 18-1
1 2 My Cousin Rich 5.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Brunate 10.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Ghostmon 12.00 14.6 28-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Famished 30.00 4.1 8-1
3 2 Little Menace 4.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Buy Land and See 2.50 5.4 10-1
5 4 Chestertown 6.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 Answer In 3.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Jemography 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Repo Rocks 3.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Sibelius 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Pineapple Man 6.00 4 8-1
3 3 Beach Boy Al 3.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Infeasible 8.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 State Planning 12.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Eminency 1.60 7.1 13-1
8 8 Devil’s Edge 20.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 He’s Got It 8.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Devious Banker 20.00 8.7 16-1
5 5 Timmy Me Boy 20.00 9.9 19-1
10 10 Barrel of Quests 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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