February 3, 2022 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lovely Lady May | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Serape | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | A G’s Charlotte | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mishpachah | 1.80 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Averi Ever After | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dreaming of Neany | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Anita’s Vision | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 11 | Love and Lemons | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Northern Alliance | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | A Lot of Spunk | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Double Dare You | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cobra Casablanca | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Have No Fear | 3.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Get None | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Elsie’s Kid | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Harriet’s Dream | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 9 | Blues Mary | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 10 | Winning Quality | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sounion | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ebben | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Emerald Forest | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Isolate | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Long Weekend | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Golden Twist | 12.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Earley Rose | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tethered | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Galileas Promise | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Vicious Velma | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mark With an E | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Hero’s Daughter | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Livy B | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Exit | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | T G’s Nelson | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stavanger | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hero Dragon | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Curlin Edges | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cryptic Code | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tricolour | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Marquee Ride | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Sikum | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | World of Wonder | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tellmeonasunday | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mairsils First | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Just Passing Thru | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Marama | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hohohoho | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Distorted Verve | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bizzy Echo | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Trumpet Lilly | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Code Name Kate | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Threewickedwishes | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Tulsa | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kizzy B | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ask Dale | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Miss Bareta | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Mrs. Necaise | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Starship Nola | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Grey Beauty | 2.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Isn’t It Time | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Rydenseek | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zumra Bayou | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cajun Two Step | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Both Ours | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Dove With a Cause | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Shesabeautydancer | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cabertoss | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gigging | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Crump | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Editor in Chief | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Treasury | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Carillo | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Gulfstream Way | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Regular Guy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.