Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, February 3, 2022

February 3, 2022 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Lovely Lady May 8.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Serape 3.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 A G’s Charlotte 8.00 4 8-1
6 6 Mishpachah 1.80 4.1 8-1
4 4 Averi Ever After 12.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Dreaming of Neany 3.50 4.5 8-1
3 3 Anita’s Vision 6.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 11 Love and Lemons 8.00 3.4 6-1
1A 8 Northern Alliance 3.50 4.7 9-1
5 5 A Lot of Spunk 10.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Double Dare You 4.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Cobra Casablanca 6.00 6 11-1
4 4 Have No Fear 3.00 7.8 15-1
1 2 Get None 3.50 SCRATCH
2 1 Elsie’s Kid 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Harriet’s Dream 10.00 SCRATCH
8 9 Blues Mary 5.00 SCRATCH
9 10 Winning Quality 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sounion 4.50 1 2-1
3 3 Ebben 2.50 2 4-1
5 5 Emerald Forest 3.50 2.9 5-1
2 2 Isolate 1.80 3 6-1
4 4 Long Weekend 3.50 4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Golden Twist 12.00 1.6 3-1
2 1 Earley Rose 6.00 1.9 4-1
5 4 Tethered 15.00 2.2 4-1
4 3 Galileas Promise 4.00 2.5 5-1
7 6 Vicious Velma 3.50 3.3 6-1
6 5 Mark With an E 12.00 3.8 7-1
3 2 Hero’s Daughter 4.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Livy B 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Exit 12.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 T G’s Nelson 10.00 3 6-1
8 8 Stavanger 2.50 3.8 7-1
4 4 Hero Dragon 20.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Curlin Edges 4.50 4.6 9-1
1 1 Cryptic Code 8.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Tricolour 4.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Marquee Ride 3.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Sikum 6.00 1.8 3-1
3 2 World of Wonder 4.00 1.9 4-1
7 6 Tellmeonasunday 2.50 2.7 5-1
4 3 Mairsils First 6.00 2.9 6-1
5 4 Just Passing Thru 6.00 3.5 7-1
2 1 Marama 15.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Hohohoho 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Distorted Verve 4.50 2.2 4-1
4 4 Bizzy Echo 6.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Trumpet Lilly 3.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Code Name Kate 6.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Threewickedwishes 6.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Miss Tulsa 3.50 4.5 9-1
2 2 Kizzy B 6.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Ask Dale 12.00 3.8 7-1
8 6 Miss Bareta 4.00 3.8 7-1
7 5 Mrs. Necaise 12.00 5.4 10-1
9 7 Starship Nola 12.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 The Grey Beauty 2.50 6.1 12-1
6 4 Isn’t It Time 4.00 6.9 13-1
11 8 Rydenseek 6.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Zumra Bayou 8.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 Cajun Two Step 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Both Ours 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Dove With a Cause 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Shesabeautydancer 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Cabertoss 10.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Gigging 8.00 2.4 5-1
6 5 Crump 2.50 3.3 6-1
4 3 Editor in Chief 10.00 3.5 7-1
8 7 Treasury 4.00 4.4 8-1
7 6 Carillo 4.50 4.6 9-1
5 4 Gulfstream Way 4.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Regular Guy 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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Scoreboard
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4th - 6:52
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2nd - 3:09
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13:53 3rd
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18:53 1st
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Final
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End 7th
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Bottom 5th
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Bottom 7th
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