Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Friday, February 4, 2022

February 4, 2022 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Scherzando 4.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Boom Boom Kaboom 8.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Heymackit’sjack 10.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Scat Brat 8.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Mr Breadwinner 2.50 3.5 7-1
4 4 Brew Pub 3.50 5.1 10-1
6 6 Feathers Road 3.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Jacoba 12.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Kid Chocolate 12.00 2.9 6-1
5 5 Perceived 1.40 3.9 7-1
2 2 It’s Mandatory 1.60 SCRATCH
3 3 Speechin N Teachin 30.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Forever Wicked 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Tara’s Talent 4.50 1.4 3-1
1 1 Spun d’Etat 3.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Easy to Bless 2.50 2.9 6-1
2 2 Dealing Justice 2.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Royal Meghan 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Kerik 4.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Alpine Queen 5.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Pendolino 30.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 A Ring Thing 6.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Chaysenbryn 4.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Sweet Mission 3.50 3.9 7-1
5 5 Shanes Pretty Lady 5.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Mia Bea Star 15.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Left Leaning Lucy 10.00 4.5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Unbridled’s Reign 8.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 Missing Fortune 6.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Eudaimonia 8.00 5.8 11-1
11 11 Pals Ally 4.50 5.9 11-1
3 2 Lost Anchor 10.00 6.3 12-1
5 4 Keen Dancer 30.00 6.6 13-1
7 6 Alarra 20.00 7 13-1
13 14 Can’t Catch Kacy 12.00 7.1 13-1
12 12 Bells On Her Toes 15.00 8.6 16-1
2 1 Miss Pab 6.00 8.6 16-1
1 8 Sweetie Pie 10.00 SCRATCH
4 3 False Hope 20.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Kay Tee Gal 6.00 SCRATCH
1A 13 Write the Check 10.00 10.1 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 High Tide 5.00 2.1 4-1
3 2 Pier Forty 3.50 3.5 7-1
1A 5 Royal Tryst 2.00 4 8-1
8 9 Blu Grotto 4.50 4.2 8-1
5 6 Group Hug 6.00 4.6 9-1
1 4 Mister Candy Ride 2.00 4.9 9-1
4 3 Confectioner 30.00 5 9-1
6 7 Forty Two Ace 15.00 5 9-1
7 8 Extreme 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Stencil 8.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Norman Queen 3.50 2.2 4-1
2 2 Highway Queen 8.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Chloe Rose 6.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Gallina 12.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Early Edition 4.50 5.6 11-1
4 4 Suspended Campaign 6.00 6 11-1
8 8 Magnetique 6.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 My Girl Lexi 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Croatian 8.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Hammerin Aamer 4.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Texas Swing 4.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 Tiergan 6.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Prioritize 4.50 3.4 6-1
6 6 Mystic Night 2.50 3.7 7-1
3 3 Pioneer Spirit 5.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Elegant Laoban 20.00 4 8-1
1 1 Love’s Misery 8.00 4 8-1
10 10 Incontrovertible 4.50 4.7 9-1
7 7 Mondeuse 10.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Cinnamon Dream 15.00 5 9-1
3 3 Inouaintalkintome 4.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Phenomenal Woman 3.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Fortune’s Sister 15.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Reeley Psyched 4.50 6.9 13-1
11 11 Emerald Banker 50.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Bonana Fanna Foe 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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Scoreboard
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4th - 1:40
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Halftime
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5:51 3rd
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8:06 1st
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Final
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End 8th
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Middle 6th
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Bottom 8th
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