February 4, 2022 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Scherzando | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Boom Boom Kaboom | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Heymackit’sjack | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Scat Brat | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mr Breadwinner | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brew Pub | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Feathers Road | 3.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Jacoba | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kid Chocolate | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Perceived | 1.40 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | It’s Mandatory | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Speechin N Teachin | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Forever Wicked | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tara’s Talent | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spun d’Etat | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Easy to Bless | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dealing Justice | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Royal Meghan | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kerik | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Alpine Queen | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pendolino | 30.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | A Ring Thing | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chaysenbryn | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sweet Mission | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shanes Pretty Lady | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mia Bea Star | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Left Leaning Lucy | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Unbridled’s Reign | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Missing Fortune | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Eudaimonia | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Pals Ally | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Lost Anchor | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Keen Dancer | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Alarra | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 14 | Can’t Catch Kacy | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bells On Her Toes | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Miss Pab | 6.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 8 | Sweetie Pie | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | False Hope | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Kay Tee Gal | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 13 | Write the Check | 10.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | High Tide | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Pier Forty | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1A | 5 | Royal Tryst | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Blu Grotto | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Group Hug | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 4 | Mister Candy Ride | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Confectioner | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Forty Two Ace | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Extreme | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Stencil | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Norman Queen | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Highway Queen | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chloe Rose | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gallina | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Early Edition | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Suspended Campaign | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Magnetique | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Girl Lexi | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Croatian | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hammerin Aamer | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Texas Swing | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tiergan | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Prioritize | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mystic Night | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pioneer Spirit | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Elegant Laoban | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Love’s Misery | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Incontrovertible | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mondeuse | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cinnamon Dream | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Inouaintalkintome | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Phenomenal Woman | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fortune’s Sister | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Reeley Psyched | 4.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Emerald Banker | 50.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bonana Fanna Foe | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.