February 4, 2022 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dale’s Lil Bro | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kasens Train | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Muletrain | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sir Overanalyze | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Thisguycanfly | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sassy’s Prospector | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | He’s a Classic | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 7 | Unburnt | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Susan Strong | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 4 | Mschitchattour | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kind Ways | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2B | 8 | Be a Bandit | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Orb’s Soul | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Staythirstymyamigo | 2.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Close to Me | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Start Well | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ready Ready | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Czar’s Ballerina | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bougie Marie | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Violet Shadows | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mardi Gras Gormley | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Smiling Angel | 10.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Eagleoverthemoon | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Not Alone | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Flamin Fire | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sobek | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Getcha | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Macho Mark | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Ty Fu Peg | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Trophy Daddy | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Coco’s Man | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mean Cruiser | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Cyber Gun | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Paralissfrmanalyss | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Oscar Choice | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | M and M’s Custom | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | My Little Junior | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sweetsweetsong | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Too Tuff to Cry | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Toocan Dance | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lullaby Bandit | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Humphrey | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chop Chop Charlie | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | October Surprise | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | War Rogue | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Such | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Taken Back | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Applewood | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hoodoo Brown | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Crimson Zip | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Perfect Mistake | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gotta Love Ike | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Summer Appeal | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Natealyze | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Corot | 3.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lunar Light | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Park Ridge Benny | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Sweeping Edge | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | First I’ve Seen | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Charlie T | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mila’s Kat | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Custom for Tina | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Valtesse | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Won Day | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Basalt Street | 2.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Flashy Meg | 8.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ironit | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Baby Lockout | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Candy Call | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Marilyn’s Magic | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | My Baby Bele | 4.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mackenzie’s Halo | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shooting Stick | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Debs Girl | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Miss Svengail | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Hairtrigger Heart | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Holy Pearls | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Cloudywithachance | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.