Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Friday, February 4, 2022

February 4, 2022 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Dale’s Lil Bro 4.50 1.4 3-1
3 3 Kasens Train 3.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Muletrain 6.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Sir Overanalyze 1.80 3 6-1
4 4 Thisguycanfly 15.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Sassy’s Prospector 5.00 7 13-1
5 5 He’s a Classic 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 7 Unburnt 1.60 1.8 3-1
3 1 Susan Strong 12.00 2.5 5-1
2 4 Mschitchattour 8.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Kind Ways 4.50 4 8-1
2B 8 Be a Bandit 8.00 4 8-1
5 5 Orb’s Soul 6.00 4.6 9-1
4 2 Staythirstymyamigo 2.00 7.3 14-1
1 3 Close to Me 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Start Well 10.00 1 2-1
4 4 Ready Ready 3.50 2.8 5-1
5 5 Czar’s Ballerina 6.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Bougie Marie 20.00 5 9-1
8 8 Violet Shadows 4.50 6.8 13-1
1 1 Mardi Gras Gormley 15.00 7.2 14-1
6 6 Smiling Angel 10.00 8.9 17-1
2 2 Eagleoverthemoon 2.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Not Alone 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Flamin Fire 3.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Sobek 6.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Getcha 2.50 3.6 7-1
3 3 Macho Mark 6.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 My Ty Fu Peg 15.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Trophy Daddy 12.00 5 9-1
8 8 Coco’s Man 4.50 5.9 11-1
5 5 Mean Cruiser 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Cyber Gun 8.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Paralissfrmanalyss 2.50 3.4 6-1
2 2 Oscar Choice 3.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 M and M’s Custom 12.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 My Little Junior 15.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Sweetsweetsong 15.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Too Tuff to Cry 8.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Toocan Dance 5.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Lullaby Bandit 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Humphrey 3.50 1.5 3-1
6 6 Chop Chop Charlie 2.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 October Surprise 12.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 War Rogue 12.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Such 5.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Taken Back 12.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Applewood 8.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Hoodoo Brown 4.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Crimson Zip 4.00 2.1 4-1
9 9 Perfect Mistake 5.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Gotta Love Ike 8.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Summer Appeal 15.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Natealyze 15.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Corot 3.00 7.5 14-1
7 7 Lunar Light 8.00 8.4 16-1
2 2 Park Ridge Benny 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Sweeping Edge 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 First I’ve Seen 4.50 1 2-1
9 9 Charlie T 10.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Mila’s Kat 15.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Custom for Tina 6.00 5 9-1
3 3 Valtesse 10.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Won Day 3.50 6 11-1
5 5 Basalt Street 2.50 7.4 14-1
8 8 Flashy Meg 8.00 8.2 15-1
6 6 Ironit 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Baby Lockout 6.00 1 2-1
9 6 Candy Call 8.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Marilyn’s Magic 2.50 6 11-1
4 3 My Baby Bele 4.00 9 17-1
5 4 Mackenzie’s Halo 20.00 9.9 19-1
3 3 Shooting Stick 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Debs Girl 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Miss Svengail 3.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Hairtrigger Heart 12.00 SCRATCH
7 5 Holy Pearls 20.00 10.7 20-1
10 7 Cloudywithachance 20.00 10.9 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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