Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Friday, February 4, 2022

February 4, 2022 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Thunk 8.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Grief 2.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Adrenaline 12.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Lilrascalman 15.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 No Pedigree 3.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Mean Cannon 4.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Mister Don 3.50 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Fed Money 3.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Willy Mc 3.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 Zoffa 4.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Cartier Cat 6.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Soul Coaxing 3.50 4.9 9-1
4 4 Ultimate Irony 2.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Tourist’s Dream 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Plemmonston 8.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Familiar Ways 4.50 2.8 5-1
8 8 Okudah 6.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Crusader Express 2.50 4 8-1
4 4 Runner 8.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Flying Bankroll 8.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Chairman Moo 4.00 5 9-1
1 1 Cool Runnings 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Basti Blue 3.50 3.9 7-1
6 6 Johnny Bootleggs 8.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Eddie’s Humor 1.80 5.2 10-1
2 2 Dont Cross El Hefe 5.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Risktaker 8.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Flashback Wind 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Rock Star Alex 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Fireinthestorm 10.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Bold Dancer 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Kyle’s Bro Jimmy 20.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Da Gold Room 5.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Freightrainfreeman 8.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 Thunder Ahead 5.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 White Mist 20.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Canihaveitlikethat 2.50 7.1 13-1
1 1 My Guitar 8.00 7.7 15-1
4 4 A. K. Safari 3.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Hail Southern 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Semi Charmed Life 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Star Appearance 20.00 1.1 2-1
12 12 Ekati’s Verve 3.50 5.1 10-1
13 13 Mr. Quality 4.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Fleetridge 12.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Borgobythesea 6.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Empty Holster 8.00 6 11-1
6 6 Lake Nakuru 8.00 7.4 14-1
10 10 One Time Gem 12.00 7.5 14-1
3 3 Color Fast 12.00 8.7 16-1
5 5 Immortal 8.00 9.9 19-1
7 7 Callinginthenight 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Vincitore 3.00 SCRATCH
11 11 East Lex 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Simply Valid 6.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Trump Flag 20.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Mucho Veloce 15.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Speedy G 3.50 4.8 9-1
8 8 Gran Muchaco 6.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Baltic Fleet 6.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Dr. Benny 3.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Bourbon Day 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Golden Passage 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Yankee Seven 8.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 Relentless Dancer 2.50 4 8-1
2 2 May Hour 10.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 X Clown 4.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Sir Wellington 8.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Chimney Rock 4.00 6.1 12-1
12 12 Win Ya Win 3.00 7.8 15-1
3 3 Gravy Hound 8.00 8.4 16-1
1 1 Classy John 3.50 SCRATCH
4 4 A Song for Arch 3.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Hooray Austin 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Half Again 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Heart of Indee 12.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Veils and Vows 12.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Palace Magic 2.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 Dream Town 12.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Miz Troubadour 4.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Candy Anne 3.50 4.4 8-1
4 4 Higher Note 8.00 4.5 9-1
9 9 Hairtrigger Heart 20.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Hello Hero 12.00 5.1 10-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.